GTA VI will have a mission involving the launch of a spaceship (probably belonging to a satirical billionaire)

EntertainmentOne-OffSpace Business & Corporate3mo

Manifold MarketsNo KYCVerified resolution dataFairly calibrated

Current community forecast

Yes 70.3%

Forecasters

Question type

binary

Methodology

Play-money forecasting platform

Source type

Forecast

Market data

Updated 17 hours ago

Stale

Dec 11, 23, 2:26 PM UTCDec 31, 26, 11:59 PM UTC

Trends

Outcome24hChance

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Rules

During a mission a playable character will observe, prevent, participate in, or otherwise interact with the launch of a rocket to space.

Question will close on launch day and resolve once confirmed.

Report a data issue with this market

GTA VI will have a mission involving the launch of a spaceship (probably belonging to a satirical billionaire)

EntertainmentOne-OffSpace Business & Corporate3mo

Manifold MarketsNo KYCVerified resolution dataFairly calibrated

Current community forecast

Yes 70.3%

Forecasters

Question type

binary

Methodology

Play-money forecasting platform

Source type

Forecast

Market data

Updated 17 hours ago

Stale

Dec 11, 23, 2:26 PM UTCDec 31, 26, 11:59 PM UTC

Trends

Outcome24hChance

Related Markets

Related questions for context, not a comparison of equivalent contracts.

When will Virgin Galactic launch their next commercial Delta-class SpaceShip

Kalshi

Billionaire one-time wealth tax passes in California election 2026?

Polymarket

Will the California billionaire wealth tax appear on the ballot?

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Will The California Billionaire Wealth Tax pass if it is on the ballot in 2026?

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An American billionaire has at least 20 kids, through 2026

Manifold Markets

Rules

During a mission a playable character will observe, prevent, participate in, or otherwise interact with the launch of a rocket to space.

Question will close on launch day and resolve once confirmed.

Report a data issue with this market

Frequently asked questions

What are the current odds for GTA VI will have a mission involving the launch of a spaceship (probably belonging to a satirical billionaire)?: Manifold Markets prices Yes at 70% as of September 8, 2026.
When does GTA VI will have a mission involving the launch of a spaceship (probably belonging to a satirical billionaire) resolve?: GTA VI will have a mission involving the launch of a spaceship (probably belonging to a satirical billionaire) is scheduled to resolve on December 31, 2026.
How is GTA VI will have a mission involving the launch of a spaceship (probably belonging to a satirical billionaire) settled?: Manifold Markets settles this market as follows: During a mission a playable character will observe, prevent, participate in, or otherwise interact with the launch of a rocket to space.

GTA VI will have a mission involving the launch of a spaceship (probably belonging to a satirical billionaire)

GTA VI will have a mission involving the launch of a spaceship (probably belonging to a satirical billionaire)

Frequently asked questions

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