Manifold MarketsNo KYCVerified resolution dataFairly calibratedCurrent community forecastNo 98.9%
Forecasters
20
Question type
binary
Methodology
Play-money forecasting platform
Source type
Forecast
Market data
Updated 2 hours ago
StaleNov 14, 25, 9:23 PM UTCDec 31, 26, 9:11 PM UTC
Trends
Related Markets
Related questions for context, not a comparison of equivalent contracts.
Rules
This market resolves according to the official U.S. MSRP of the standard (base) edition of Grand Theft Auto VI on its U.S. launch date.
- The price as listed by Rockstar Games, or the price shown on the U.S. PlayStation Store, Xbox Store, or Steam.
- More than $100 means an official MSRP of $100.01 or higher.
- If the official price is $100.00 or lower, the market resolves NO.
- Taxes, fees, discounts, sales, bundles, and any special, collector, or deluxe editions do not count toward resolution.
- If more than one official U.S. MSRP exists, the market resolves according to the lowest official U.S. MSRP for the standard edition.
Prediction Source Comparison
Open markets
Entertainment
KALSHITime's Person of the Year for 2026
- Zohran Mamdani-2.0pt27%
- Mark Carney-1.0pt18%
- Donald Trump10%
+39 more outcomes
- Total Vol
- $1.5M
- 24h Vol
- $202.5K
KALSHIBig Brother Season 28 · Thursday elimination
- Melody Morris+15.0pt99%
- Rick Devens+39.0pt41%
- Drew Campbell+24.0pt30%
+2 more outcomes
KALSHIOscar Winner: Best Picture
- The Odyssey48%
- The Black Ball29%
- Dune: Part Three-1.0pt9%
+38 more outcomes
- Total Vol
- $6.6M
- 24h Vol
- $135.1K
KALSHIPrimetime · Rotten Tomatoes score
- Above 7099%
- Above 6599%
- Above 6099%
+10 more outcomes
- Total Vol
- $516.6K
- 24h Vol
- $114.6K
KALSHITop US Netflix Movie this week?
- Why Did I Get Married Again?+55.0pt89%
- The Ministry of Ungentlemanly Warfare-2.0pt0.9%
- The AI Doc: Or How I Became an Apocaloptimist0.9%
+10 more outcomes
- Total Vol
KALSHISense and Sensibility · Rotten Tomatoes score
- Above 5599%
- Above 5099%
- Above 4599%
+7 more outcomes
- Total Vol
- $203.8K
- 24h Vol
- $92.9K
- Big Brother Season 28 · Winner
- Forgotten Island · Rotten Tomatoes score
- # of views of next MrBeast video on week 1?
- Wildwood · Rotten Tomatoes score
- Oscar Winner: Best Actor
- #2 US Netflix Movie this week?
- # of views of MrBeast video on day 3?
- Heart of the Beast · Rotten Tomatoes score
- Digger · Rotten Tomatoes score
- Which movie has biggest opening week in 2026?
- The Social Reckoning · Rotten Tomatoes score
- The Hunger Games: Sunrise on the Reaping · Rotten Tomatoes score
Frequently asked questions
- What are the current odds for GTA VI costs over $100 at launch??
- Manifold Markets prices No at 99% as of September 22, 2026.
- When does GTA VI costs over $100 at launch? resolve?
- GTA VI costs over $100 at launch? is scheduled to resolve on December 31, 2026.
- How is GTA VI costs over $100 at launch? settled?
- Manifold Markets settles this market as follows: This market resolves according to the official U.S. MSRP of the standard (base) edition of Grand Theft Auto VI on its U.S. launch date.
- Where else is GTA VI costs over $100 at launch? listed?
- The same question is also listed on Polymarket.