PolymarketCheck availabilityNo KYC2% feeVerified resolution dataFairly calibratedCurrent implied probability
November 30 94.9%Leader of 3 outcomesVig-adjusted: raw venue quotes summed above 100% and were normalized.
Market quality
76 / 100
High quality24h Volume
$8K
Liquidity
$14.8K
Medium liquiditySpread
0.1 pt
Tight spreadComments
4
7d Change
+0.6 pts
Market data
Updated 2 minutes ago
May 26, 26, 11:50 PMOct 31, 26, 12:00 AM
Trends
Rules
This market will resolve to "Yes" if it Grand Theft Auto VI is officially released in the US by the listed date, 11:59 PM ET.
- Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
- For the purposes of this market, "release" refers to the game becoming publicly available for purchase or download in the US.
- Early access, beta versions, other forms of pre-release availability, or leaks will not count as an official release.
- If the release is only for certain consoles (e.g. Xbox Series X/S) it will count.
- The resolution source will be official information from Rockstar Games or its parent company, Take-Two Interactive.
Open markets
Entertainment
KALSHIBig Brother Season 28 · Winner
- Dee Valladares+3.0pt17.8%
- Rick Devens-1.0pt15.8%
- Drew Campbell+1.0pt9.9%
+14 more outcomes
- Total Vol
- $3.3M
- 24h Vol
- $131K
KALSHIInsidious: Out of the Further · Rotten Tomatoes score
- Above 4099%
- Above 50+9.0pt99%
- Above 45+1.0pt99%
+9 more outcomes
- Total Vol
- $398.2K
- 24h Vol
KALSHIMutiny · Rotten Tomatoes score
- Above 45+16.0pt99%
- Above 50+35.0pt78%
- Above 55-1.0pt8%
+7 more outcomes
- Total Vol
- $292.6K
KALSHIOscar Winner: Best Picture
- The Odyssey+1.0pt60%
- Dune: Part Three11%
- The Black Ball8%
+35 more outcomes
- Total Vol
- $3.9M
- 24h Vol
- $47.4K
KALSHIGrand Theft Auto VI: Release date
- Before July 202797%
- Before January 2028-2.0pt97%
- Before 202787%
+6 more outcomes
- Total Vol
- $2.7M
- 24h Vol
- $31.5K
POLYMARKET"The Odyssey" total domestic gross by August 31? (Higher Strikes)
- 550 - 570m+2.5pt83.8%
- 570m+-5.7pt14.1%
- 530 - 550m-0.2pt2%
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- Emmy winner: Outstanding Variety Special (Pre-Recorded)
- #2 US Netflix Show this week?
- Top US Netflix Show this week?
- Oscar Winner: Best Actor
- How many views will the #1 Show on Netflix have this week?
- #2 US Netflix Movie this week?
- Emmy winner: Outstanding Structured Reality Program
Frequently asked questions
- What are the current odds for GTA VI released by which date??
- Polymarket prices November 30 at 95% as of August 22, 2026.
- When does GTA VI released by which date? resolve?
- GTA VI released by which date? is scheduled to resolve on October 31, 2026.
- How is GTA VI released by which date? settled?
- Polymarket settles this market as follows: This market will resolve to "Yes" if it Grand Theft Auto VI is officially released in the US by the listed date, 11:59 PM ET.