PolymarketCheck availabilityNo KYCVerified resolution dataWell calibratedData quality warningStale data
Data as of Oct 26, 2026, 1:52 AM UTC · policy pm-quality-4
Selected book midpoint
No · —
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Stored reference
No 94%
No 94%Market quality
28 / 100
Low quality24h Volume
$2
Liquidity
$779.8
Low liquidityOpen interest
$1.4K
Bid / Ask
— / —
NoSpread
—
Comments
2
7d Change
+0.1 pts
Market data
Updated 1 hour ago
LaggingMar 18, 26, 9:17 PM UTCJan 1, 27, 4:59 AM UTC
Chart and changes show stored historical probabilities, not the selected live book.
Trends
Selected row: book midpoint. Other rows: stored references, possibly normalized; 24h changes use stored history.
Venue terms
Source: Polymarket
Informational venue terms only; CoinRithm paper trading uses its own rules.
- Minimum order (shares):
- 5
- Tick size:
- 0.1 percentage points
- Fees:
- Yes
Top holders
Loading top holders
Market depth · No
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Related Markets
Related questions for context, not a comparison of equivalent contracts.
When will Elder Scrolls VI be released?
KalshiWill Bethesda publicly release The Elder Scrolls VI before 2027?
Manifold MarketsWill Bethesda publicly announce a release date for The Elder Scrolls VI before January 1, 2027?
Manifold MarketsAny one of Half Life 3, the Winds of Winter, or Elder Scrolls 6 announced before the end of 2026
Manifold MarketsWill the Elder Scrolls VI have cutscenes?
Manifold MarketsGTA VI released by which date?
PolymarketRules
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Elder Scrolls VI is officially released in the US by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.
- Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
- For the purposes of this market, "release" refers to the game becoming publicly available for purchase or download in the US.
- Early access, beta versions, other forms of pre-release availability, or leaks will not count as an official release.
- If the release is only for certain consoles (e.g. Xbox Series X/S) it will count.
- The resolution source will be official information from Bethesda Softworks or its parent company, Microsoft.