PolymarketCheck availabilityNo KYC2% feeVerified resolution dataFairly calibratedCurrent implied probabilityNo 98%
Market quality
67 / 100
Medium quality24h Volume
$6.7
Liquidity
$19.4K
Medium liquidityBid / Ask
2.1% / 2.7%
Spread
0.6 pt
Tight spread7d Change
+0.2 pts
Market data
Updated 4 minutes ago
Feb 10, 26, 11:37 PMFeb 28, 27, 12:00 AM
Trends
Paper funds only — no real moneyNot financial advice
Selected outcome
Yes2%
Compare venues· No
Ranked by market quality, then liquidity and 24h volume| Venue | Quality | Probability | vs reference | 24h Vol | Liq | Freshness | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| PolymarketThis pageBest overall | Medium | 98% | — | $6.7 | $19.4K | 4 minutes ago | |
 Manifold Markets88% match · verified | — | 99% | — | — | — | 30 days ago | Open → |
Also available on Manifold Markets
GTA VI costs over $100 at launch?
5mo
98.9%
1.1%
Community forecast20 forecastersType: binary
MANIFOLD MARKETSRules
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the standard edition of Grand Theft Auto VI (GTA 6) launches at $100.00 or more.
- Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
- This market will resolve based on the pre-tax launch price in USD of the standard edition of GTA 6 on Xbox or PlayStation as listed on the Microsoft Store or PlayStation Store on the first official day of its release in the United States.
- If the price differs between the Microsoft and PlayStation stores, this market will resolve according to the lower price.
- This market will resolve based on the lowest price version that includes the full standard game with no DLC, etc.
- If GTA 6 is not released or release is otherwise delayed beyond February 28, 2027, this market will resolve to "No".
Probabilities may differ due to different market structures, fees, and participant pools.
Volume trend
$7Jul 226d of dataJul 27
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This market will resolve to "Yes" if the standard edition of Grand Theft Auto VI (GTA 6) launches at $100.00 or more.
- Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
- This market will resolve based on the pre-tax launch price in USD of the standard edition of GTA 6 on Xbox or PlayStation as listed on the Microsoft Store or PlayStation Store on the first official day of its release in the United States.
- If the price differs between the Microsoft and PlayStation stores, this market will resolve according to the lower price.
- This market will resolve based on the lowest price version that includes the full standard game with no DLC, etc.
- If GTA 6 is not released or release is otherwise delayed beyond February 28, 2027, this market will resolve to "No".