KalshiCheck availabilityKYC required2% feeVerified resolution dataFairly calibratedCurrent implied probability
No 73%
Market quality
45 / 100
Low quality24h Volume
$88.6
Liquidity
$752.6
Low liquidityBid / Ask
23.0% / 29.0%
Spread
6.0 pt
Wide spreadMarket data
Updated 11 minutes ago
Aug 31, 26, 5:00 PM UTCFeb 1, 27, 4:59 AM UTC
Trends
Related Markets
Related questions for context, not a comparison of equivalent contracts.
GTA VI released by which date?
PolymarketWill Rockstar Games release GTA VI Online before 2027?
KalshiWhat year will GTA VI (6) come out
Manifold Markets[ACX 2026] Will GTA VI be released during 2026?
Manifold MarketsGTA VI to release by November 19, 2026?
Manifold MarketsGTA VI: PS5 Launch Price
PolymarketRules
If Take-Two Interactive or Rockstar Games publicly disclose a numeric figure for Grand Theft Auto VI preorders before Feb 1, 2027, then the market resolves to Yes.
Settles via:the Securities and Exchange Commission EDGAR databaseABCCNBCThe Wall Street JournalMSNBCThe InformationNBCThe Washington PostThe New York TimesAxiosReutersCNNthe Associated PressCBSPoliticoBloomberg News
- The announcement must be made through official company channels including press releases, SEC filings (8-K, 10-K, 10-Q), earnings calls, investor presentations, verified social media accounts, or official statements to media subsequently confirmed by the company.
- CEO statements through official channels qualify.
- Rumors, speculation, unconfirmed reports, leaked information, third-party announcements without company confirmation, and preliminary discussions do not qualify.
- The announcement must occur after market issuance.
- Companies are tracked through rebranding and name changes representing the same business entity.
Open markets
RegulationPOLYMARKETClarity Act (H.R.3633) signed into law in 2026?
- No+3.0pt86.1%
- Yes-3.0pt13.9%
- Total Vol
- $14.5M
- 24h Vol
- $253.8K
POLYMARKETAnthropic IPO by which date?
- December 31,-1.0pt90%
- December 15,-1.0pt86%
- November 30,-0.5pt85%
+7 more outcomes
KALSHIWill the Clarity Act become law?
- Before Jul 1, 2027-11.0pt37%
- Before Jan 1, 2028-19.0pt35%
- Before Oct 1, 2027-20.0pt35%
+7 more outcomes
KALSHIWhen will Tesla and SpaceX merge?
- Before 2028+2.0pt67%
- Before May 1, 2027-1.0pt49%
- Before Apr 1, 2027-7.0pt43%
+8 more outcomes
KALSHIWhen will Anthropic officially announce an IPO?
- Before Apr 1, 2027+5.0pt97%
- Before Jan 1, 2027+1.0pt96%
- Before Mar 1, 2027-1.0pt94%
+9 more outcomes
POLYMARKETWhat will OpenAI's IPO valuation be?
- $1.25T–$1.5T-0.1pt19.8%
- $1.75T–$2.0T18.9%
- $1.5T–$1.75T17.9%
+5 more outcomes
- Total Vol
- How many states will adopt data center moratoriums in 2026?
- Conference to Win the National Championship
- Will California authorize an alternative wage or other qualifying relief from goat-herder wage and overtime obligations before Oct 1, 2026?
- Which companies will officially announce an IPO this year?
- Will another state enact a data center moratorium in 2026?
- Discord IPO Closing Market Cap
- When will the Senate vote on the Clarity Act?
- SpaceX' Market Cap end of October 2026?
- Which Senators will vote for the Clarity Act?
- Space Exploration Technologies' Market Cap end of September 2026?
Frequently asked questions
- What are the current odds for Will GTA VI preorders be reported??
- Kalshi prices No at 73% as of September 9, 2026.
- When does Will GTA VI preorders be reported? resolve?
- Will GTA VI preorders be reported? is scheduled to resolve on February 1, 2027.
- How is Will GTA VI preorders be reported? settled?
- Kalshi settles this market as follows: If Take-Two Interactive or Rockstar Games publicly disclose a numeric figure for Grand Theft Auto VI preorders before Feb 1, 2027, then the market resolves to Yes.