Trends
Related Markets
Related questions for context, not a comparison of equivalent contracts.
How low will the Claude Opus 4.8 input token price get in 2026?
Will "what makes Claude 3 Opus misaligned" make the top fifty posts in LessWrong's 2025 Annual Review?
How low will the Claude Opus 4.8 output token price get in 2026?
What will Claude Opus's output token price hit in 2026?
Will "Claude 4.5 Opus' Soul Document" make the top fifty posts in LessWrong's 2025 Annual Review?
Will "Insights into Claude Opus 4.5 from Pokémon" make the top fifty posts in LessWrong's 2025 Annual Review?
Rules
The '+' means any version at or above 5.6 counts: if Anthropic skips 5.6 and releases Claude Opus 5.7 or Opus 6, that still counts for the purpose of this market.
Free JSON for this market, no API key needed:
https://api.coinrithm.com/api/prediction-markets/events/manifold/claude-opus-56-anthropic-release-daAI agents: call pm_data_event on the CoinRithm MCP server:
https://mcp.coinrithm.com/mcp+9 more outcomes
+7 more outcomes
+12 more outcomes
+9 more outcomes
+15 more outcomes
+5 more outcomes