Current community forecast
Yes 67.7%
Forecasters
7
Question type
binary
Methodology
Play-money forecasting platform
Source type
Forecast
Market data
Updated 12 hours ago
StaleNov 26, 25, 3:39 AM UTCDec 31, 27, 11:59 PM UTC
Trends
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PolymarketRules
Resolution criteria
- This market resolves YES if China has implemented 30 or more distinct infrastructure connectivity projects in Africa between Jan 1st 2025 and December 31, 2027. "Connectivity projects" include railways, highways, ports, bridges, telecommunications infrastructure, and similar transport/communication networks that directly link African regions or countries.
- Projects must be substantially completed or operational (not merely announced or under construction).
- Resolution will be verified through official Chinese government announcements, African government statements, or reports from established development finance tracking organizations such as the China-Africa Research Initiative (CARI) or the World Bank.
- If in doubt, the latest version of ChatGPT will be asked to opine on the outcome.
- In the past decade, Chinese enterprises have signed contracts surpassing $700 billion and delivered projects valued at over $400 billion in Africa.
