[Metaculus] Will China carry out a cyberattack on Taiwan’s electricity infrastructure before 2030?
ChinaOne-Off3y
Manifold MarketsNo KYCVerified resolution dataWell calibratedCurrent community forecastNo 55.8%
Forecasters
7
Question type
binary
Methodology
Play-money forecasting platform
Source type
Forecast
Market data
Updated 20 hours ago
StaleMay 18, 24, 4:42 PM UTCJan 2, 30, 12:00 PM UTC
Trends
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PolymarketRules
Will China carry out a cyberattack on Taiwan’s electricity infrastructure before 2030?
- Resolves the same as the original on Metaculus.
- (https://www.metaculus.com/questions/question_embed/21805/?theme=dark)Resolution criteria
- This question resolves as Yes if, before January 1, 2030, China carries out a cyberattack on Taiwan’s electricity infrastructure that causes loss of electricity for at least 10,000 people for at least 1 day.
- The question resolves as No otherwise.
- Fine print and additional background information can be found on Metaculus.
