Manifold MarketsNo KYCVerified resolution dataFairly calibratedCurrent community forecast2035-2039 25.5%Leader of 7 outcomes
Forecasters
10
Question type
multiple choice
Methodology
Play-money forecasting platform
Source type
Forecast
7d Change
0.0 pts
Market data
Updated 12 hours ago
StaleOct 27, 23, 9:12 PM UTCJan 2, 60, 7:59 AM UTC
Trends
Rules
This will resolve based on data from the Energy Institute Statistical Review of World Energy (or the best equivalent source if not available), as currently reported here.
- The most recent available figure is 22.52% in 2022.
- Clarification for pedants: this will resolve based only on present/future data.
- Presenting evidence that, actually, most electricity was supplied by hydropower in 1882 will not cause a "the named outcome" resolution.
