By when will most 50k+ FTX bankruptcy claimants have received their last installment ?
Corporate ActionsOne-Off1mo
Manifold MarketsNo KYCVerified resolution dataWell calibratedCurrent community forecast
Before Jan 2028 83.2%Leader of 5 outcomes
Before Jan 2028 83.2%Forecasters
15
Question type
multiple choice
Methodology
Play-money forecasting platform
Source type
Forecast
7d Change
0.0 pts
Market data
Updated 11 hours ago
StaleJan 4, 25, 6:05 AM UTCDec 31, 26, 11:59 PM UTC
Trends
Related Markets
Related questions for context, not a comparison of equivalent contracts.
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PolymarketRules
Resolves according to when the US Debtors issue the last reimbursement to the majority of FTX International customers (including claims over $50,000).
- It does not matter when the payment is received or whether it is blocked by a third party (e.g. customs or foreign government)
- Deadline extends until resolved.
- Update 2026-07-21 (PST) (AI summary of creator comment): The market resolution criteria has been updated to focus on when the last reimbursement is issued to the majority of claims over $50,000, rather than a majority of all FTX International customers.
