By 2030, there will be a prediction market w/ 1M+ MAU that resolves predictions using an AI model exclusively

Frequently asked questions

What are the current odds for By 2030, there will be a prediction market w/ 1M+ MAU that resolves predictions using an AI model exclusively?

Manifold Markets prices No at 71.9% as of October 12, 2026.

When does By 2030, there will be a prediction market w/ 1M+ MAU that resolves predictions using an AI model exclusively resolve?

By 2030, there will be a prediction market w/ 1M+ MAU that resolves predictions using an AI model exclusively is scheduled to resolve on January 29, 2029.

How is By 2030, there will be a prediction market w/ 1M+ MAU that resolves predictions using an AI model exclusively settled?

Manifold Markets settles this market as follows: How to "resolve" predictions is the trickiest part of a prediction market.

Use this market in code or an AI agent

Free JSON for this market, no API key needed:

AI agents: call pm_data_event on the CoinRithm MCP server:

KALSHI

OpenAI market share this week

• Above 18.4%+78.0pt99%–100%
• Above 18.1%+2.0pt99%–100%
• Above 14.1%99%–100%

+6 more outcomes

Total Vol

$834.1K

24h Vol

$130.2K

KALSHI

Best AI in Oct 2026?

• Gemini+1.0pt71%–72%
• Claude-2.0pt23%–24%
• Muse+2.0pt

POLYMARKET

Gemini 4.0 released by which date?

• November 30-0.3pt98%
• October 31-1.5pt90%
• October 2383%

+14 more outcomes

POLYMARKET

Anthropic announces bankruptcy by which date?

• 202922%
• 202819%
• 202710%

Total Vol

$1.7M

24h Vol

$59.1K

KALSHI

Best AI at the end of 2026?

• Claude-0.1pt43.6%–43.9%
• Gemini-2.4pt37%–37.1%
• ChatGPT+0.6pt

KALSHI

Best AI this week

• Gemini99%–100%
• Claude+1.0pt0%–2%
• ChatGPT0%–1%

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