Benchmark Gap #5: Once a single AI model solves >= 95% of miniF2F, MATH, and MMLU STEM, will it be less than two years before AI models are used as entry-level data science / data analysis / statistics workers?

Frequently asked questions

What are the current odds for Benchmark Gap #5: Once a single AI model solves >= 95% of miniF2F, MATH, and MMLU STEM, will it be less than two years before AI models are used as entry-level data science / data analysis / statistics workers??

Manifold Markets prices Yes at 67.1% as of October 27, 2026.

When does Benchmark Gap #5: Once a single AI model solves >= 95% of miniF2F, MATH, and MMLU STEM, will it be less than two years before AI models are used as entry-level data science / data analysis / statistics workers? resolve?

Benchmark Gap #5: Once a single AI model solves >= 95% of miniF2F, MATH, and MMLU STEM, will it be less than two years before AI models are used as entry-level data science / data analysis / statistics workers? is scheduled to resolve on January 1, 2050.

How is Benchmark Gap #5: Once a single AI model solves >= 95% of miniF2F, MATH, and MMLU STEM, will it be less than two years before AI models are used as entry-level data science / data analysis / statistics workers? settled?

Manifold Markets settles this market as follows: This question is meant to measure the gap between solving the main math-based benchmarks at the time of market creation, and applying mathematics in the real world.

Use this market in code or an AI agent

Free JSON for this market, no API key needed:

AI agents: call pm_data_event on the CoinRithm MCP server:

POLYMARKET

Anthropic IPO by which date?

• December 31,+11.5pt94%
• December 15,+9.5pt91%
• November 30,+28.5pt89%

+15 more outcomes

Total Vol

$5.9M

24h Vol

$356.7K

KALSHI

When will Anthropic officially announce an IPO?

• Before Apr 1, 2027+3.0pt95.5%
• Before Mar 1, 2027+4.0pt95%
• Before Jan 1, 2027+14.0pt

KALSHI

What will JD Vance say during his rally in Kansas?

• Tax on Tips / Tax on Overtime+19.0pt99.5%
• America First+61.0pt99.5%
• American Dream+65.0pt

POLYMARKET

Anthropic IPO Closing Market Cap

• $1.75–$2.0T+2.5pt29.1%
• $2.0–$2.25T-0.5pt23.3%
• $1.5–$1.75T+0.5pt16.5%

+7 more outcomes

KALSHI

Best AI at the end of 2026?

• Claude+3.9pt60%
• Gemini30.1%
• ChatGPT-0.3pt6.8%

POLYMARKET

Which company has best AI model end of 2026?

• Anthropic+4.0pt57.6%
• Google-1.0pt33.3%
• OpenAI+0.3pt6.1%

+12 more outcomes

• GPT Astra 6.1+ released by which date?
• OpenAI announces another Millennium Prize solution by which date?
• Which company has the best AI model end of October?
• Will Anthropic’s valuation hit __ by December 31?
• What will Anthropic's public ticker be?
• Next Fable Model (5.2+) released by which date?
• Best AI this week
• In which month will Anthropic IPO?
• What will OpenAI's IPO valuation be?
• Anthropic announces bankruptcy by which date?