Current community forecast
No 59.8%
Forecasters
6
Question type
binary
Methodology
Play-money forecasting platform
Source type
Forecast
Market data
Updated 1 hour ago
LaggingJun 11, 25, 3:26 AM UTCDec 31, 50, 11:59 PM UTC
Trends
Rules
This market resolves to 'Yes' if, by the end of 2050, a device or procedure is demonstrated or well documented in peer reviewed studies that can routinely predict an individual's specific physical actions and nearly perfect internal monologue over a two-minute interval based on starting conditions.
- It is acceptable if the prediction cannot happen in real time, so long as it is clearly provable the prediction received no data beyond initial starting conditions.
- The system must generalize and not work only under contrived conditions.
- It cannot result in death/clear neurological damage/maiming.
