Manifold MarketsNo KYCVerified resolution dataFairly calibratedCurrent community forecast>=$750 98.9%Leader of 7 outcomes
Forecasters
38
Question type
multiple choice
Methodology
Play-money forecasting platform
Source type
Forecast
7d Change
0.0 pts
Market data
Updated 10 minutes ago
Nov 14, 25, 4:32 AM UTCOct 1, 26, 7:00 AM UTC
Trends
0.4%
0.2%
0.1%
0.1%
0.1%
0.1%
Related Markets
Related questions for context, not a comparison of equivalent contracts.
Steam Frame under $750?
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Manifold MarketsRules
What will be the Steam Frame VR headset's official launch price?
- Context: Valve has not announced an official price but stated it will be cheaper than the $999 Valve Index full kit (https://www.theverge.com/news/818041/valve-steam-frame-vr-headsets-comparison).
- Resolution: This market resolves to the price range that matches the listed price for the 256gb Steam Frame in the US, tax-exclusive: https://store.steampowered.com/sale/steamframe.
- The market will resolve as soon as a price is announced.
- If there is a launch sale, the market will resolve to the full, regular price.
- Update 2025-11-15 (PST) (AI summary of creator comment): The market will resolve based on the price of the full kit (headset + controllers), not just the headset alone.
Open markets
AIPOLYMARKETWill CMI declare a Millennium Prize Problem solved by which date?
- 2028+8.0pt56.5%
- 2027+3.5pt33.3%
- 2026+4.0pt10.2%
- Total Vol
- $261.2K
- 24h Vol
- $186.6K
KALSHITop AI model in September?
- claude-fable-5.1-max+4.0pt73%
- claude-opus-5-high+2.0pt6%
- claude-opus-5-max+4.0pt5%
+3 more outcomes
- Total Vol
POLYMARKETAnthropic IPO by which date?
- December 31,+3.0pt90%
- December 15,86%
- November 30,-1.0pt84%
+7 more outcomes
- Total Vol
KALSHIBest AI in Sep 2026?
- Claude+3.0pt81.3%
- ChatGPT-2.0pt13.1%
- Gemini-3.0pt1.9%
+4 more outcomes
- Total Vol
- $401K
KALSHIBest AI at the end of 2026?
- Claude+4.4pt62.4%
- ChatGPT-1.2pt23.8%
- Grok-2.6pt5.9%
+5 more outcomes
- Total Vol
- $10.6M
POLYMARKETOpenAI’s Astra Model: Text Arena Debut?
- 1480+-8.0pt63%
- 1490+-8.5pt54%
- 1500+-0.5pt28%
+2 more outcomes
- Largest IPO by market cap in 2026?
- When will Anthropic officially announce an IPO?
- Gemini 4.0 released by which date?
- OpenAI IPO Closing Market Cap
- Anthropic IPO Closing Market Cap
- Next Google Gemini Pro Model released by which date?
- When will OpenAI achieve AGI?
- Will Anthropic’s valuation hit __ by December 31?
- Will OpenAI's valuation hit __ by December 31?
- Best Chinese AI Company end of September?
Frequently asked questions
- What are the current odds for 256gb Steam Frame Launch Price Range?
- Manifold Markets prices >=$750 at 99% as of September 9, 2026.
- When does 256gb Steam Frame Launch Price Range resolve?
- 256gb Steam Frame Launch Price Range is scheduled to resolve on October 1, 2026.
- How is 256gb Steam Frame Launch Price Range settled?
- Manifold Markets settles this market as follows: What will be the Steam Frame VR headset's official launch price?