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Data as of Nov 11, 2026, 2:19 AM UTC · policy pm-quality-4
Selected book midpoint
AI / Artificial Intelligence · —
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Stored price
AI / Artificial Intelligence 0.5%Leader of 16 outcomes
AI / Artificial Intelligence 0.5%Market quality
44 / 100
Low quality24h Volume
$92.3K
Open interest
$68.3K
High open interestBid / Ask
— / —
AI / Artificial IntelligenceSpread
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Market data
Updated 54 minutes ago
LaggingNov 10, 26, 7:30 PM UTCNov 24, 26, 3:00 PM UTC
Chart and changes show stored historical probabilities, not the selected live book.
Trends
Selected row: book midpoint. Other rows: stored references, possibly normalized; 24h changes use stored history.
InflationWon
Before close: 66% ·
NvidiaWon
Before close: 80% ·
Impeach / ImpeachmentWon
Before close: 97% ·
Trump (5+ times)Won
Before close: 85% ·
HegsethWon
Before close: 98% ·
Oil / Gas / GasolineWon
Before close: 71% ·
Iran / IranianWon
Before close: 83% ·
Flood / FloodingLost
Before close: 66% ·
EpsteinLost
Before close: 27% ·
Abu DhabiLost
Before close: 45% ·
MeaslesLost
Before close: 25% ·
AnthropicLost
Before close: 16% ·
MidtermLost
Before close: 75% ·
Job / UnemploymentLost
Before close: 28% ·
PopeLost
Before close: 17% ·
Venue terms
Source: Kalshi
Informational venue terms only; CoinRithm paper trading uses its own rules.
- Early close:
- Yes
- Settlement timer:
- 30m (informational)
Market depth · AI / Artificial Intelligence
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Rules
If any host or reporter says AI / Artificial Intelligence as part of ABC World News Tonight originally scheduled for November 10, 2026 , then the market resolves to Yes.
Settles via:ABCFox NewsMSNBCThe Wall Street JournalSemaforThe InformationCBSThe Washington PostAxiosCNNReutersThe New York Timesthe Associated PressPolitico
- Video of the ABC World News Tonight originally scheduled for November 10, 2026 will be primarily used to resolve the market; if a consensus by Kalshi employees cannot be reached using video, internal & external (official) transcripts of the ABC World News Tonight originally scheduled for November 10, 2026 will be used. Payout Criterion: The exact phrase/word, or a plural or possessive form of the phrase/word, must be used. Grammatical/tense inflections are otherwise not included. Plural nouns occurring within proper nouns and noun phrases (e.g. names, titles, etc) are included. For the purpose of this market, the live broadcast or stream will be used to resolve this event. Additional content not included in the original broadcast or stream will not count. Promotional content aired during the event will count, but advertisements will not. For the purpose of this market, the entirety of content within the original broadcast will be used for resolution. Please see full rules for more details. Postponement: If the event is postponed, and such a postponement is announced by the end of the following calendar day to be rescheduled to a time within 14 calendar days, the markets shall remain open.
Rules for each outcome
- Inflation
- If any host or reporter says Inflation as part of ABC World News Tonight originally scheduled for November 10, 2026 , then the market resolves to Yes.
- Nvidia
- If any host or reporter says Nvidia as part of ABC World News Tonight originally scheduled for November 10, 2026 , then the market resolves to Yes.
- Impeach / Impeachment
- If any host or reporter says Impeach / Impeachment as part of ABC World News Tonight originally scheduled for November 10, 2026 , then the market resolves to Yes.
- Trump (5+ times)
- If any host or reporter says Trump (5+ times) as part of ABC World News Tonight originally scheduled for November 10, 2026 , then the market resolves to Yes.
- Hegseth
- If any host or reporter says Hegseth as part of ABC World News Tonight originally scheduled for November 10, 2026 , then the market resolves to Yes.
- Oil / Gas / Gasoline
- If any host or reporter says Oil / Gas / Gasoline as part of ABC World News Tonight originally scheduled for November 10, 2026 , then the market resolves to Yes.
- Iran / Iranian
- If any host or reporter says Iran / Iranian as part of ABC World News Tonight originally scheduled for November 10, 2026 , then the market resolves to Yes.
- AI / Artificial Intelligence
- If any host or reporter says AI / Artificial Intelligence as part of ABC World News Tonight originally scheduled for November 10, 2026 , then the market resolves to Yes.
- Flood / Flooding
- If any host or reporter says Flood / Flooding as part of ABC World News Tonight originally scheduled for November 10, 2026 , then the market resolves to Yes.
- Epstein
- If any host or reporter says Epstein as part of ABC World News Tonight originally scheduled for November 10, 2026 , then the market resolves to Yes.
- Abu Dhabi
- If any host or reporter says Abu Dhabi as part of ABC World News Tonight originally scheduled for November 10, 2026 , then the market resolves to Yes.
- Measles
- If any host or reporter says Measles as part of ABC World News Tonight originally scheduled for November 10, 2026 , then the market resolves to Yes.
- Anthropic
- If any host or reporter says Anthropic as part of ABC World News Tonight originally scheduled for November 10, 2026 , then the market resolves to Yes.
- Midterm
- If any host or reporter says Midterm as part of ABC World News Tonight originally scheduled for November 10, 2026 , then the market resolves to Yes.
- Job / Unemployment
- If any host or reporter says Job / Unemployment as part of ABC World News Tonight originally scheduled for November 10, 2026 , then the market resolves to Yes.
- Pope
- If any host or reporter says Pope as part of ABC World News Tonight originally scheduled for November 10, 2026 , then the market resolves to Yes.
