KalshiCheck availabilityKYC requiredVerified resolution dataWell calibratedSelected book midpoint
SpaceXAI · —
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Stored price
SpaceXAI 14.5%Leader of 10 outcomes
SpaceXAI 14.5%Market quality
28 / 100
Low quality24h Volume
$243.7
Open interest
$360.7
Low open interestBid / Ask
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SpaceXAISpread
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Market data
Updated 36 minutes ago
Oct 23, 26, 4:00 PM UTCOct 30, 26, 2:00 PM UTC
Chart and changes show stored historical probabilities, not the selected live book.
Trends
Selected row: book midpoint. Other rows: stored references, possibly normalized; 24h changes use stored history.
Venue terms
Source: Kalshi
Informational venue terms only; CoinRithm paper trading uses its own rules.
- Early close:
- Yes
- Settlement timer:
- 30m (informational)
Market depth · SpaceXAI
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Related Markets
Related questions for context, not a comparison of equivalent contracts.
Which company has the best Text-to-Video AI end of November?
PolymarketWhich company has the best Text-to-Video AI end of October?
PolymarketWhich company has the best Text-to-Video AI end of December?
PolymarketWill real-time text-to-video generation be viable by 2027?
Manifold MarketsWhich company has the best Image-to-Video AI end of November?
PolymarketWill real-time text-to-video generation be viable by 2030?
Manifold MarketsRules
If SpaceXAI is the #1 model on Artificial Analysis Text to Video Leaderboard (With Audio) on Oct 30, 2026 at 10:00am ET, then the market resolves to Yes.
Settles via:Artificial Analysis - Video Arena
- Tied rankings shall be resolved using the publisher's official tie-breaking methodology; if none exists, all tied entities share the highest rank among them. If multiple candidates are tied for a given rank, then their Contracts will resolve to $1/(the number of candidates tied), rounded down. Kalshi is not affiliated, associated, authorized, endorsed by, or in any way officially connected with the Governing League. All trademarks, logos, and brand names are the property of their respective owners.
Rules for each outcome
- SpaceXAI
- If SpaceXAI is the #1 model on Artificial Analysis Text to Video Leaderboard (With Audio) on Oct 30, 2026 at 10:00am ET, then the market resolves to Yes.
- Alibaba
- If Alibaba is the #1 model on Artificial Analysis Text to Video Leaderboard (With Audio) on Oct 30, 2026 at 10:00am ET, then the market resolves to Yes.
- MiniMax
- If MiniMax is the #1 model on Artificial Analysis Text to Video Leaderboard (With Audio) on Oct 30, 2026 at 10:00am ET, then the market resolves to Yes.
- Vidu
- If Vidu is the #1 model on Artificial Analysis Text to Video Leaderboard (With Audio) on Oct 30, 2026 at 10:00am ET, then the market resolves to Yes.
- If Google is the #1 model on Artificial Analysis Text to Video Leaderboard (With Audio) on Oct 30, 2026 at 10:00am ET, then the market resolves to Yes.
- ByteDance
- If ByteDance is the #1 model on Artificial Analysis Text to Video Leaderboard (With Audio) on Oct 30, 2026 at 10:00am ET, then the market resolves to Yes.
- KlingAI
- If KlingAI is the #1 model on Artificial Analysis Text to Video Leaderboard (With Audio) on Oct 30, 2026 at 10:00am ET, then the market resolves to Yes.
- Skywork AI
- If Skywork AI is the #1 model on Artificial Analysis Text to Video Leaderboard (With Audio) on Oct 30, 2026 at 10:00am ET, then the market resolves to Yes.
- Lightricks
- If Lightricks is the #1 model on Artificial Analysis Text to Video Leaderboard (With Audio) on Oct 30, 2026 at 10:00am ET, then the market resolves to Yes.
- PixVerse
- If PixVerse is the #1 model on Artificial Analysis Text to Video Leaderboard (With Audio) on Oct 30, 2026 at 10:00am ET, then the market resolves to Yes.