Current implied probability
Google 71%+0.5ptLeader of 17 outcomesVig-adjusted: raw venue quotes summed above 100% and were normalized.
Google 71%+0.5ptMarket quality
68 / 100
Medium quality24h Volume
$671.3
Liquidity
$11.6K
Medium liquiditySpread
0.4 pt
Tight spreadComments
0
Market data
Updated 3 minutes ago
Aug 13, 26, 9:15 PM UTCOct 31, 26, 4:00 PM UTC
Trends
Venue terms
Source: Polymarket
Informational venue terms only; CoinRithm paper trading uses its own rules.
- Minimum order (shares):
- 5
- Tick size:
- 1 percentage points
- Fees:
- Yes
Related Markets
Related questions for context, not a comparison of equivalent contracts.
Which company has the best Text-to-Video AI end of December?
PolymarketWhich company has the best Text-to-Video AI end of November?
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PolymarketWhich company has the best Image-to-Video AI end of October?
PolymarketTop Text to Video AI this week
KalshiWill real-time text-to-video generation be viable by 2027?
Manifold MarketsRules
This market will resolve according to the company that owns the model that has the highest rank based on the arena.ai Text-to-Video Leaderboard when the table under "Text-to-Video Arena" filtered for "Models" is checked on October 31, 2026, 12:00 PM ET.
- Results from the "Rank" column under the "Text-to-Video Arena" Leaderboard tab at https://arena.ai/leaderboard/text-to-video filtered for "Models" will be used to resolve this market.
- Note: Models marked “AutoEval” at the applicable check time will not be considered, regardless of whether they display a rank or score.
- Models will be ordered primarily by their leaderboard rank at the market’s check time.
- If two or more models are tied on rank, they will be ordered by which model is listed higher on the leaderboard.
- If a tie still remains, alphabetical order of company names as listed in this market group will be used as a final tiebreaker (e.g., “Google” would be ranked ahead of “SpaceXAI”).