KalshiCheck availabilityKYC required2% feeVerified resolution dataFairly calibratedCurrent implied probability
Scotiabank Arena 96%Leader of 10 outcomes
Market quality
46 / 100
Low quality24h Volume
$49.6
Liquidity
$6.9K
Medium liquiditySpread
5.0 pt
Moderate spreadMarket data
Updated 7 minutes ago
Jan 3, 26, 3:00 PM UTCJan 8, 27, 3:00 PM UTC
Trends
Related Markets
Related questions for context, not a comparison of equivalent contracts.
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Manifold MarketsRules
If Drake performs at the named outcome in 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
Settles via:Drake's Official Website
- For purposes of this contract, "performed" means the person appears live on stage or in the official broadcast/stream and performs (including singing, dancing, DJ-ing, or playing an instrument), either as a scheduled performer or as a guest appearance during another artist's performance.
- Guest appearances where the person performs live music qualify.
- Festival appearances that include a live set qualify.
- The following do not qualify: appearing only as an award presenter or host, being in the audience without performing, having music played without participation, appearing in video montages or tribute segments without performing, pre-show or post-show performances outside the official event timeframe, appearances without performing (speeches, award acceptances, interviews, promotional events), canceled or postponed shows where no performance occurs in the time period, rehearsals and sound checks, or virtual participation via livestream into the venue.
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Frequently asked questions
- What are the current odds for Where will Drake perform in 2026??
- Kalshi prices Scotiabank Arena at 96% as of September 18, 2026.
- When does Where will Drake perform in 2026? resolve?
- Where will Drake perform in 2026? is scheduled to resolve on January 8, 2027.
- How is Where will Drake perform in 2026? settled?
- Kalshi settles this market as follows: If Drake performs at the named outcome in 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.