KalshiCheck availabilityKYC requiredVerified resolution dataWell calibratedSelected book midpoint
At least 1,800,000 passengers · —
Loading selected book…
Book received (not venue quote time): —
Stored price
At least 2,800,000 passengers Stored bid–ask45%–50%Collected: Last trade: 49% · Trade time unknownPrices are percentages of payout, before fees; these stored observations are not executable quotes.Market line of 15 lines
At least 2,800,000 passengers Stored bid–ask45%–50%Collected: Last trade: 49% · Trade time unknownPrices are percentages of payout, before fees; these stored observations are not executable quotes.Market quality
67 / 100
Medium quality24h Volume
$8.4K
Open interest
$8K
Medium open interestBid / Ask
— / —
At least 1,800,000 passengersSpread
—
Market data
Updated 10 minutes ago
Oct 11, 26, 1:00 PM UTCOct 12, 26, 10:59 AM UTC
Chart and changes show stored historical probabilities, not the selected live book.
Trends
Selected row: book midpoint. Other rows: stored references, possibly normalized; 24h changes use stored history.
Venue terms
Source: Kalshi
Informational venue terms only; CoinRithm paper trading uses its own rules.
- Early close:
- Yes
- Settlement timer:
- 30m (informational)
Market depth · At least 1,800,000 passengers
Loading selected book…
Book received (not venue quote time): —
Related Markets
Related questions for context, not a comparison of equivalent contracts.
Texas ERCOT peak electricity demand on Oct 11, 2026
KalshiPort of New York and New Jersey container volume in 2026
KalshiWill New Zealand implement a carbon tax by 2027?
Manifold MarketsWill GameStop acquire eBay in 2026?
KalshiNobel Economics Prize Winner 2026
PolymarketPoland rate decision in November
KalshiRules
If the first published number of nationwide TSA passenger screenings on October 11, 2026 is at least 2,800,000 passengers, then the market resolves to Yes.
Settles via:Transportation Security Administration
- The Underlying is the nationwide checkpoint travel number reported on TSA’s Passenger Volumes page for the specified date, regardless of when it is published. The exact count is used without rounding. Only the first published value is used; later corrections and revisions are ignored. If publication is delayed, resolution waits for the specified date’s data, subject to the contract’s expiration and contingency provisions.
Rules for each outcome
- At least 1,800,000 passengers
- If the first published number of nationwide TSA passenger screenings on October 11, 2026 is at least 1,800,000 passengers, then the market resolves to Yes.
- At least 1,900,000 passengers
- If the first published number of nationwide TSA passenger screenings on October 11, 2026 is at least 1,900,000 passengers, then the market resolves to Yes.
- At least 2,000,000 passengers
- If the first published number of nationwide TSA passenger screenings on October 11, 2026 is at least 2,000,000 passengers, then the market resolves to Yes.
- At least 2,400,000 passengers
- If the first published number of nationwide TSA passenger screenings on October 11, 2026 is at least 2,400,000 passengers, then the market resolves to Yes.
- At least 2,500,000 passengers
- If the first published number of nationwide TSA passenger screenings on October 11, 2026 is at least 2,500,000 passengers, then the market resolves to Yes.
- At least 2,600,000 passengers
- If the first published number of nationwide TSA passenger screenings on October 11, 2026 is at least 2,600,000 passengers, then the market resolves to Yes.
- At least 2,100,000 passengers
- If the first published number of nationwide TSA passenger screenings on October 11, 2026 is at least 2,100,000 passengers, then the market resolves to Yes.
- At least 2,200,000 passengers
- If the first published number of nationwide TSA passenger screenings on October 11, 2026 is at least 2,200,000 passengers, then the market resolves to Yes.
- At least 2,300,000 passengers
- If the first published number of nationwide TSA passenger screenings on October 11, 2026 is at least 2,300,000 passengers, then the market resolves to Yes.
- At least 2,700,000 passengers
- If the first published number of nationwide TSA passenger screenings on October 11, 2026 is at least 2,700,000 passengers, then the market resolves to Yes.
- At least 2,800,000 passengers
- If the first published number of nationwide TSA passenger screenings on October 11, 2026 is at least 2,800,000 passengers, then the market resolves to Yes.
- At least 2,900,000 passengers
- If the first published number of nationwide TSA passenger screenings on October 11, 2026 is at least 2,900,000 passengers, then the market resolves to Yes.
- At least 3,000,000 passengers
- If the first published number of nationwide TSA passenger screenings on October 11, 2026 is at least 3,000,000 passengers, then the market resolves to Yes.
- At least 3,100,000 passengers
- If the first published number of nationwide TSA passenger screenings on October 11, 2026 is at least 3,100,000 passengers, then the market resolves to Yes.
- At least 3,200,000 passengers
- If the first published number of nationwide TSA passenger screenings on October 11, 2026 is at least 3,200,000 passengers, then the market resolves to Yes.