KalshiClosedCheck availabilityKYC required2% feeVerified resolution dataFairly calibratedThis market resolved: Tencent (98%)
Resolved: Sep 7, 2026, 3:33 PM
Provider-verified resolution
CoinRithm has provider-backed winner and settlement-time evidence for this market.
Probability Timeline
DeepSeek1%
Tencent98%
OpenAI25%
Won
Lost
Lost
Lost
Lost
Lost
Lost
Related Markets
Related questions for context, not a comparison of equivalent contracts.
Will CMI declare a Millennium Prize Problem solved by which date?
PolymarketAnthropic IPO by which date?
PolymarketWill Anthropic announce a solution to the Navier-Stokes Millennium problem before IPO?
Manifold MarketsBest AI at the end of 2026?
KalshiTop AI model in September?
KalshiWhen will Anthropic officially announce an IPO?
KalshiRules
If DeepSeek is the Highest usage model company model on OpenRouter Top Model by weekly usage on week of Aug 31, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
Settles via:OpenRouter - AI Model Rankings
- This event will resolve based on the updated values for the week of Aug 31, 2026.
- The "Highest usage model company" refers to the model author company of the single model with the greatest weekly token volume as displayed on the OpenRouter Top Models chart, not the company with the greatest aggregate token volume across all of its models.
- Tied rankings shall be resolved using the publisher's official tie-breaking methodology; if none exists, all tied entities share the highest rank among them.
- If multiple candidates are tied for a given rank, then their Contracts will resolve to $1/(the number of candidates tied), rounded down.
- Kalshi is not affiliated, associated, authorized, endorsed by, or in any way officially connected with the Governing League.
Open markets
AIKALSHIWhat will Trump say during his United Nations meetings?
- Fentanyl99%
- Zelensky99%
- Cartel99%
+38 more outcomes
- Total Vol
- $432.5K
- 24h Vol
- $432.4K
KALSHIBest AI at the end of 2026?
- Claude-1.4pt69.3%
- ChatGPT-0.7pt13.9%
- Gemini+0.3pt7.9%
+5 more outcomes
- Total Vol
- $11.9M
POLYMARKETWhich company has the best AI model end of September?
- Anthropic-0.4pt99%
- OpenAI+0.3pt1%
- Meta-0.1pt0%
+18 more outcomes
POLYMARKETTrump renames AI by September 30?
- No-24.0pt68.3%
- Yes+24.0pt31.7%
- Total Vol
- $103.8K
- 24h Vol
- $92.4K
POLYMARKETAnthropic IPO by which date?
- December 31,79%
- December 15,+1.0pt75%
- November 30,57%
+7 more outcomes
- Total Vol
- $3.8M
POLYMARKETAnthropic lab leak by which date?
- June 30, 2027-4.0pt7%
- December 31, 20264%
- Total Vol
- $97.9K
- 24h Vol
- $73.8K
- Best AI this week
- DeepSeek market share this week
- Anthropic market share this week
- Will Anthropic’s valuation hit __ by December 31?
- Moonshot AI share of spend on Sep 22, 2026 (Vercel)
- Which company has best AI model end of 2026?
- OpenAI share of spend on Sep 22, 2026 (Vercel)
- What will Trump say during his remarks at Xi Jinping’s state arrival?
- OpenAI market share this week
- Qwen market share this week
- OpenAI IPO Closing Market Cap
Frequently asked questions
- When does Most popular AI this week resolve?
- Most popular AI this week is scheduled to resolve on September 7, 2026.
- How is Most popular AI this week settled?
- Kalshi settles this market as follows: If DeepSeek is the Highest usage model company model on OpenRouter Top Model by weekly usage on week of Aug 31, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.