KalshiCheck availabilityKYC required2% feeVerified resolution dataFairly calibratedCurrent implied probability
Above 19.5% 99%Leader of 9 outcomes
Market quality
71 / 100
Medium quality24h Volume
$20.7K
Liquidity
$21.3K
Medium liquiditySpread
1.0 pt
Tight spreadMarket data
Updated 3 minutes ago
Sep 21, 26, 10:00 PM UTCSep 23, 26, 3:59 AM UTC
Trends
Venue terms
Source: Kalshi
Informational venue terms only; CoinRithm paper trading uses its own rules.
- Early close:
- No
- Settlement timer:
- 30m (informational)
Related Markets
Related questions for context, not a comparison of equivalent contracts.
Moonshot AI share of spend on Sep 22, 2026 (Vercel)
KalshiAnthropic share of spend on Sep 22, 2026 (Vercel)
KalshiOpenAI share of requests on Sep 22, 2026 (Vercel)
KalshiDeepSeek share of requests on Sep 22, 2026 (Vercel)
KalshiWhich company has the best AI model end of September?
PolymarketBest AI at the end of 2026?
KalshiRules
If the OpenAI Vercel share of AI Gateway spend across the top labs for Sep 22, 2026 is above 16.5%, then the market resolves to Yes.
Settles via:Vercel AI Gateway Leaderboards - Labs
- This event resolves using the OpenAI Vercel share of AI Gateway spend across the top labs, rounded to one decimal.
- At 10:00 AM ET on Sep 23, 2026, Kalshi will use the chart's updated value for Sep 22, 2026.
- Kalshi is not affiliated, associated, authorized, endorsed by, or in any way officially connected with Vercel.
- All trademarks, logos, and brand names are the property of their respective owners.
- If the OpenAI Vercel share of AI Gateway spend across the top labs for Sep 22, 2026 is above 18%, then the market resolves to Yes.
Open markets
AIKALSHIWhat will Trump say during his United Nations meetings?
- Fentanyl99%
- Zelensky99%
- Cartel99%
+38 more outcomes
- Total Vol
- $432.5K
- 24h Vol
- $432.4K
KALSHIBest AI at the end of 2026?
- Claude-1.4pt69.3%
- ChatGPT-0.7pt13.9%
- Gemini+0.3pt7.9%
+5 more outcomes
- Total Vol
- $11.9M
POLYMARKETWhich company has the best AI model end of September?
- Anthropic-0.4pt99%
- OpenAI+0.3pt1%
- Meta-0.1pt0%
+18 more outcomes
POLYMARKETTrump renames AI by September 30?
- No-24.0pt68.3%
- Yes+24.0pt31.7%
- Total Vol
- $103.8K
- 24h Vol
- $92.4K
POLYMARKETAnthropic IPO by which date?
- December 31,79%
- December 15,+1.0pt75%
- November 30,57%
+7 more outcomes
- Total Vol
- $3.8M
POLYMARKETAnthropic lab leak by which date?
- June 30, 2027-4.0pt7%
- December 31, 20264%
- Total Vol
- $97.9K
- 24h Vol
- $73.8K
- Best AI this week
- DeepSeek market share this week
- Anthropic market share this week
- Will Anthropic’s valuation hit __ by December 31?
- Moonshot AI share of spend on Sep 22, 2026 (Vercel)
- Which company has best AI model end of 2026?
- What will Trump say during his remarks at Xi Jinping’s state arrival?
- OpenAI market share this week
- Qwen market share this week
- OpenAI IPO Closing Market Cap
- When will Trump officially rename AI?
Frequently asked questions
- What are the current odds for OpenAI share of spend on Sep 22, 2026 (Vercel)?
- Kalshi prices Above 19.5% at 99% as of September 23, 2026.
- When does OpenAI share of spend on Sep 22, 2026 (Vercel) resolve?
- OpenAI share of spend on Sep 22, 2026 (Vercel) is scheduled to resolve on September 23, 2026.
- How is OpenAI share of spend on Sep 22, 2026 (Vercel) settled?
- Kalshi settles this market as follows: If the OpenAI Vercel share of AI Gateway spend across the top labs for Sep 22, 2026 is above 16.5%, then the market resolves to Yes.