KalshiCheck availabilityKYC required2% feeVerified resolution dataFairly calibratedData quality warningNo trading activity
Data as of Sep 23, 2026, 2:56 AM UTC · policy pm-quality-3
Current implied probability
Above 38% 0%Leader of 9 outcomes
Market quality
22 / 100
Low quality24h Volume
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Liquidity
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Liquidity unknownMarket data
Updated 11 minutes ago
Sep 21, 26, 10:00 PM UTCSep 23, 26, 3:59 AM UTC
Trends
Venue terms
Source: Kalshi
Informational venue terms only; CoinRithm paper trading uses its own rules.
- Early close:
- No
- Settlement timer:
- 30m (informational)
Rules
If the Anthropic Vercel share of AI Gateway spend across the top labs for Sep 22, 2026 is above 38%, then the market resolves to Yes.
Settles via:Vercel AI Gateway Leaderboards - Labs
- This event resolves using the Anthropic Vercel share of AI Gateway spend across the top labs, rounded to one decimal.
- At 10:00 AM ET on Sep 23, 2026, Kalshi will use the chart's updated value for Sep 22, 2026.
- Kalshi is not affiliated, associated, authorized, endorsed by, or in any way officially connected with Vercel.
- All trademarks, logos, and brand names are the property of their respective owners.
- If the Anthropic Vercel share of AI Gateway spend across the top labs for Sep 22, 2026 is above 40%, then the market resolves to Yes.
Open markets
AIKALSHIWhat will Trump say during his United Nations meetings?
- Fentanyl99%
- Zelensky99%
- Cartel99%
+38 more outcomes
- Total Vol
- $432.5K
- 24h Vol
- $432.4K
KALSHIBest AI at the end of 2026?
- Claude-1.4pt69.3%
- ChatGPT-0.7pt13.9%
- Gemini+0.3pt7.9%
+5 more outcomes
- Total Vol
- $11.9M
POLYMARKETWhich company has the best AI model end of September?
- Anthropic-0.4pt99%
- OpenAI+0.3pt1%
- Meta-0.1pt0%
+18 more outcomes
POLYMARKETTrump renames AI by September 30?
- No-24.0pt68.3%
- Yes+24.0pt31.7%
- Total Vol
- $103.8K
- 24h Vol
- $92.4K
POLYMARKETAnthropic IPO by which date?
- December 31,79%
- December 15,+1.0pt75%
- November 30,57%
+7 more outcomes
- Total Vol
- $3.8M
POLYMARKETAnthropic lab leak by which date?
- June 30, 2027-4.0pt7%
- December 31, 20264%
- Total Vol
- $97.9K
- 24h Vol
- $73.8K
- Best AI this week
- DeepSeek market share this week
- Anthropic market share this week
- Will Anthropic’s valuation hit __ by December 31?
- Moonshot AI share of spend on Sep 22, 2026 (Vercel)
- Which company has best AI model end of 2026?
- OpenAI share of spend on Sep 22, 2026 (Vercel)
- What will Trump say during his remarks at Xi Jinping’s state arrival?
- OpenAI market share this week
- Qwen market share this week
- OpenAI IPO Closing Market Cap
Frequently asked questions
- What are the current odds for Anthropic share of spend on Sep 22, 2026 (Vercel)?
- Kalshi prices Above 38% at 0% as of September 23, 2026.
- When does Anthropic share of spend on Sep 22, 2026 (Vercel) resolve?
- Anthropic share of spend on Sep 22, 2026 (Vercel) is scheduled to resolve on September 23, 2026.
- How is Anthropic share of spend on Sep 22, 2026 (Vercel) settled?
- Kalshi settles this market as follows: If the Anthropic Vercel share of AI Gateway spend across the top labs for Sep 22, 2026 is above 38%, then the market resolves to Yes.