KalshiClosedCheck availabilityKYC required2% feeVerified resolution dataFairly calibratedThis market is closed and awaiting confirmed resolution.
Awaiting verified resolution
CoinRithm is waiting for provider-confirmed settlement before treating this market as resolved.
Current implied probability
Exactly 3.65% 18%+5.0ptLeader of 7 outcomes
Market quality
31 / 100
Low quality24h Volume
$16.2K
Liquidity
$14.6K
Medium liquidityMarket data
Updated 3 hours ago
StaleSep 4, 26, 1:45 PM UTCSep 8, 26, 11:59 AM UTC
Trends
18%
11%
6%
2%
1%
1%
0%
Related Markets
Related questions for context, not a comparison of equivalent contracts.
Rules
If the Secured Overnight Financing Rate (SOFR) for September 4, 2026 is at most 3.60%, then the market resolves to Yes.
Settles via:Federal Reserve Bank of New York
- The Underlying is the initially reported SOFR for September 4, 2026 in the table named “Secured Overnight Financing Rate Data” in the column labeled “Rate (%)”.
- Later revisions will not be accounted for in determining the Expiration Value.
- If the Secured Overnight Financing Rate (SOFR) for September 4, 2026 is exactly 3.61%, then the market resolves to Yes.
- If the Secured Overnight Financing Rate (SOFR) for September 4, 2026 is exactly 3.62%, then the market resolves to Yes.
- If the Secured Overnight Financing Rate (SOFR) for September 4, 2026 is exactly 3.63%, then the market resolves to Yes.
Open markets
Bonds & Treasuries
POLYMARKETHow low will 10-year Treasury yield get before 2027?
- 4.0%+0.3pt100%
- 3.8%+2.9pt8%
- 3.9%-1.3pt8%
+6 more outcomes
- Total Vol
- $245.7K
- 24h Vol
- $8.6K
POLYMARKETHow high will 10-year Treasury yield go in September?
- 4.82%-29.0pt48%
- 4.85%-20.0pt47%
- 4.91%-12.5pt35%
+6 more outcomes
POLYMARKETHow high will 10-year Treasury yield go before 2027?
- 4.5%+11.2pt100%
- 4.6%+4.9pt100%
- 4.4%-1.5pt100%
+7 more outcomes
KALSHI10Y US Treasury yield on Sep 8, 2026?
- 4.66% or above99%
- 4.68% or above99%
- 4.7% or above99%
+12 more outcomes
- Total Vol
- $5K
- 24h Vol
- $5K
KALSHI2Y US Treasury yield on Sep 8, 2026?
- 4.21% or above99%
- 4.23% or above99%
- 4.25% or above99%
+12 more outcomes
- Total Vol
- $4.9K
- 24h Vol
- $4.9K
KALSHI7Y US Treasury yield on Sep 8, 2026?
- 4.57% or above99%
- 4.51% or above99%
- 4.53% or above99%
+12 more outcomes
- Total Vol
- $4.4K
- 24h Vol
- $4.4K
- 30Y US Treasury yield on Sep 8, 2026?
- 5Y US Treasury yield on Sep 8, 2026?
- How low will 10-year Treasury yield get in September?
- 30Y US Treasury yield on Sep 11, 2026?
- US defaults on debt by 2027?
- How low will 30-year Treasury yield get in September?
- 2Y US Treasury yield on Sep 11, 2026?
- Bank of Canada rate on December 31, 2026
- How low will 5-year Treasury yield get before 2027?
- How high will 5-year Treasury yield go in September?
- Japan 10Y Bond Yield: End of 2026
Frequently asked questions
- What are the current odds for SOFR for September 4, 2026?
- Kalshi prices Exactly 3.65% at 18% as of September 8, 2026.
- When does SOFR for September 4, 2026 resolve?
- SOFR for September 4, 2026 is scheduled to resolve on September 8, 2026.
- How is SOFR for September 4, 2026 settled?
- Kalshi settles this market as follows: If the Secured Overnight Financing Rate (SOFR) for September 4, 2026 is at most 3.60%, then the market resolves to Yes.