KalshiCheck availabilityKYC requiredVerified resolution dataWell calibratedSelected book midpoint
Above 3.00% · —
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Stored price
Above 4.25% 36.5%Market line of 8 lines
Above 4.25% 36.5%Market quality
46 / 100
Low quality24h Volume
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Open interest
$8.6K
Medium open interestBid / Ask
— / —
Above 3.00%Spread
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Market data
Updated 3 minutes ago
Jun 25, 26, 9:00 PM UTCJan 4, 27, 12:55 PM UTC
Chart and changes show stored historical probabilities, not the selected live book.
Trends
Selected row: book midpoint. Other rows: stored references, possibly normalized; 24h changes use stored history.
Venue terms
Source: Kalshi
Informational venue terms only; CoinRithm paper trading uses its own rules.
- Early close:
- Yes
- Settlement timer:
- 1h (informational)
Market depth · Above 3.00%
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Related Markets
Related questions for context, not a comparison of equivalent contracts.
SOFR for October 23, 2026
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Polymarket10Y US Treasury yield on Oct 26, 2026?
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PolymarketRules
If the first published SOFR value corresponding to the final U.S. business-day SOFR reference date for Q4 2026 is above 4.25%, then the market resolves to Yes.
Settles via:Federal Reserve Bank of New York
Rules for each outcome
- Above 3.00%
- If the first published SOFR value corresponding to the final U.S. business-day SOFR reference date for Q4 2026 is above 3.00%, then the market resolves to Yes.
- Above 3.25%
- If the first published SOFR value corresponding to the final U.S. business-day SOFR reference date for Q4 2026 is above 3.25%, then the market resolves to Yes.
- Above 3.50%
- If the first published SOFR value corresponding to the final U.S. business-day SOFR reference date for Q4 2026 is above 3.50%, then the market resolves to Yes.
- Above 3.75%
- If the first published SOFR value corresponding to the final U.S. business-day SOFR reference date for Q4 2026 is above 3.75%, then the market resolves to Yes.
- Above 4.00%
- If the first published SOFR value corresponding to the final U.S. business-day SOFR reference date for Q4 2026 is above 4.00%, then the market resolves to Yes.
- Above 4.25%
- If the first published SOFR value corresponding to the final U.S. business-day SOFR reference date for Q4 2026 is above 4.25%, then the market resolves to Yes.
- Above 4.50%
- If the first published SOFR value corresponding to the final U.S. business-day SOFR reference date for Q4 2026 is above 4.50%, then the market resolves to Yes.
- Above 4.75%
- If the first published SOFR value corresponding to the final U.S. business-day SOFR reference date for Q4 2026 is above 4.75%, then the market resolves to Yes.