KalshiCheck availabilityKYC required2% feeVerified resolution dataRoughly calibratedCurrent implied probabilityAbove 3.00% 81%Leader of 8 outcomes
Market quality
40 / 100
Low quality24h Volume
$0
Liquidity
$2.5K
Medium liquidityBid / Ask
86.0% / 97.0%
Spread
12.8%
Wide spreadMarket data
Updated 12 minutes ago
Jun 25, 26, 9:00 PMJan 4, 27, 12:55 PM
Trends
Paper funds only — no real moneyNot financial advice
Selected outcome
Above 3.00%81%
Volume trend
$202Jul 414d of dataJul 25
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If the first published SOFR value corresponding to the final U.S. business-day SOFR reference date for Q4 2026 is above 3.00%, then the market resolves to Yes.
- If the first published SOFR value corresponding to the final U.S. business-day SOFR reference date for Q4 2026 is above 3.25%, then the market resolves to Yes.
- If the first published SOFR value corresponding to the final U.S. business-day SOFR reference date for Q4 2026 is above 3.50%, then the market resolves to Yes.
- If the first published SOFR value corresponding to the final U.S. business-day SOFR reference date for Q4 2026 is above 3.75%, then the market resolves to Yes.
- If the first published SOFR value corresponding to the final U.S. business-day SOFR reference date for Q4 2026 is above 4.00%, then the market resolves to Yes.
- If the first published SOFR value corresponding to the final U.S. business-day SOFR reference date for Q4 2026 is above 4.25%, then the market resolves to Yes.