KalshiCheck availabilityKYC requiredVerified resolution dataWell calibratedSelected book midpoint
3.91% or Above · —
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Stored price
3.91% or Above 83.5%Leader of 7 outcomes
3.91% or Above 83.5%Market quality
48 / 100
Low quality24h Volume
$6.2K
Open interest
$6.1K
Medium open interestBid / Ask
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3.91% or AboveSpread
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Market data
Updated 15 minutes ago
Oct 23, 26, 12:00 PM UTCOct 26, 26, 11:59 AM UTC
Chart and changes show stored historical probabilities, not the selected live book.
Trends
Selected row: book midpoint. Other rows: stored references, possibly normalized; 24h changes use stored history.
Venue terms
Source: Kalshi
Informational venue terms only; CoinRithm paper trading uses its own rules.
- Early close:
- Yes
- Settlement timer:
- 30m (informational)
Market depth · 3.91% or Above
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Related Markets
Related questions for context, not a comparison of equivalent contracts.
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PolymarketUS Treasury cash balance on October 23, 2026
Kalshi30Y US Treasury yield on Dec 31, 2027?
KalshiRules
If the Secured Overnight Financing Rate (SOFR) for October 23, 2026 is at least 3.91%, then the market resolves to Yes.
Settles via:Federal Reserve Bank of New York
- The Underlying is the initially reported SOFR for October 23, 2026 in the table named “Secured Overnight Financing Rate Data” in the column labeled “Rate (%)”. Later revisions will not be accounted for in determining the Expiration Value.
Rules for each outcome
- 3.91% or Above
- If the Secured Overnight Financing Rate (SOFR) for October 23, 2026 is at least 3.91%, then the market resolves to Yes.
- Exactly 3.88%
- If the Secured Overnight Financing Rate (SOFR) for October 23, 2026 is exactly 3.88%, then the market resolves to Yes.
- Exactly 3.89%
- If the Secured Overnight Financing Rate (SOFR) for October 23, 2026 is exactly 3.89%, then the market resolves to Yes.
- Exactly 3.86%
- If the Secured Overnight Financing Rate (SOFR) for October 23, 2026 is exactly 3.86%, then the market resolves to Yes.
- Exactly 3.87%
- If the Secured Overnight Financing Rate (SOFR) for October 23, 2026 is exactly 3.87%, then the market resolves to Yes.
- 3.85% or Below
- If the Secured Overnight Financing Rate (SOFR) for October 23, 2026 is at most 3.85%, then the market resolves to Yes.
- Exactly 3.90%
- If the Secured Overnight Financing Rate (SOFR) for October 23, 2026 is exactly 3.90%, then the market resolves to Yes.