KalshiCheck availabilityKYC requiredVerified resolution dataWell calibratedData quality warningNo trading activity
Data as of Oct 5, 2026, 5:32 AM UTC · policy pm-quality-4
Current implied probability
Above 15.3% No observed price
Above 15.3% No observed priceMarket quality
24 / 100
Low quality24h Volume
—
Open interest
—
Open interest unknownSpread
34.0 pt
Wide spreadMarket data
Updated 11 minutes ago
Oct 4, 26, 4:00 PM UTCOct 9, 26, 3:59 AM UTC
Trends
Venue terms
Source: Kalshi
Informational venue terms only; CoinRithm paper trading uses its own rules.
- Early close:
- No
- Settlement timer:
- 30m (informational)
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Related questions for context, not a comparison of equivalent contracts.
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KalshiRules
If the OpenAI Vercel share of AI Gateway spend across the top labs for Oct 8, 2026 is above 15.3%, then the market resolves to Yes.
Settles via:Vercel AI Gateway Leaderboards - Labs
- This event resolves using the OpenAI Vercel share of AI Gateway spend across the top labs, rounded to one decimal. At 10:00 AM ET on Oct 9, 2026, Kalshi will use the chart's updated value for Oct 8, 2026. Kalshi is not affiliated, associated, authorized, endorsed by, or in any way officially connected with Vercel. All trademarks, logos, and brand names are the property of their respective owners.
Rules for each outcome
- Above 15.3%
- If the OpenAI Vercel share of AI Gateway spend across the top labs for Oct 8, 2026 is above 15.3%, then the market resolves to Yes.
- Above 16.6%
- If the OpenAI Vercel share of AI Gateway spend across the top labs for Oct 8, 2026 is above 16.6%, then the market resolves to Yes.
- Above 17.2%
- If the OpenAI Vercel share of AI Gateway spend across the top labs for Oct 8, 2026 is above 17.2%, then the market resolves to Yes.
- Above 18.7%
- If the OpenAI Vercel share of AI Gateway spend across the top labs for Oct 8, 2026 is above 18.7%, then the market resolves to Yes.
- Above 20.2%
- If the OpenAI Vercel share of AI Gateway spend across the top labs for Oct 8, 2026 is above 20.2%, then the market resolves to Yes.
- Above 21.3%
- If the OpenAI Vercel share of AI Gateway spend across the top labs for Oct 8, 2026 is above 21.3%, then the market resolves to Yes.
- Above 21.9%
- If the OpenAI Vercel share of AI Gateway spend across the top labs for Oct 8, 2026 is above 21.9%, then the market resolves to Yes.
- Above 22.7%
- If the OpenAI Vercel share of AI Gateway spend across the top labs for Oct 8, 2026 is above 22.7%, then the market resolves to Yes.
- Above 24.6%
- If the OpenAI Vercel share of AI Gateway spend across the top labs for Oct 8, 2026 is above 24.6%, then the market resolves to Yes.