KalshiCheck availabilityKYC requiredVerified resolution dataWell calibratedSelected book midpoint
Above 24.4% · —
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Book received (not venue quote time): —
Stored price
Above 24.4% Stored bid–ask46%–74%Collected: Last trade: 57% · Trade time unknownPrices are percentages of payout, before fees; these stored observations are not executable quotes.Market line of 9 lines
Above 24.4% Stored bid–ask46%–74%Collected: Last trade: 57% · Trade time unknownPrices are percentages of payout, before fees; these stored observations are not executable quotes.Market quality
24 / 100
Low quality24h Volume
$5.1
Open interest
$5.1
Low open interestBid / Ask
— / —
Above 24.4%Spread
—
Market data
Updated 29 minutes ago
Oct 8, 26, 4:00 PM UTCOct 13, 26, 3:59 AM UTC
Chart and changes show stored historical probabilities, not the selected live book.
Trends
Selected row: book midpoint. Other rows: stored references, possibly normalized; 24h changes use stored history.
Venue terms
Source: Kalshi
Informational venue terms only; CoinRithm paper trading uses its own rules.
- Early close:
- No
- Settlement timer:
- 30m (informational)
Market depth · Above 24.4%
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Book received (not venue quote time): —
Related Markets
Related questions for context, not a comparison of equivalent contracts.
OpenAI share of requests on Oct 10, 2026 (Vercel)
KalshiAnthropic share of requests on Oct 12, 2026 (Vercel)
KalshiAnthropic share of requests on Oct 10, 2026 (Vercel)
KalshiDeepSeek share of requests on Oct 10, 2026 (Vercel)
KalshiOpenAI Market Share
Manifold MarketsWill ANOTHER millennium prize problem be solved in 2026?
Manifold MarketsRules
If the OpenAI Vercel share of AI Gateway requests across the top labs for Oct 12, 2026 is above 24.4%, then the market resolves to Yes.
Settles via:Vercel AI Gateway Leaderboards - Labs
- This event resolves using the OpenAI Vercel share of AI Gateway requests across the top labs, rounded to one decimal. At 10:00 AM ET on Oct 13, 2026, Kalshi will use the chart's updated value for Oct 12, 2026. Kalshi is not affiliated, associated, authorized, endorsed by, or in any way officially connected with Vercel. All trademarks, logos, and brand names are the property of their respective owners.
Rules for each outcome
- Above 24.4%
- If the OpenAI Vercel share of AI Gateway requests across the top labs for Oct 12, 2026 is above 24.4%, then the market resolves to Yes.
- Above 19.3%
- If the OpenAI Vercel share of AI Gateway requests across the top labs for Oct 12, 2026 is above 19.3%, then the market resolves to Yes.
- Above 22.0%
- If the OpenAI Vercel share of AI Gateway requests across the top labs for Oct 12, 2026 is above 22.0%, then the market resolves to Yes.
- Above 24.9%
- If the OpenAI Vercel share of AI Gateway requests across the top labs for Oct 12, 2026 is above 24.9%, then the market resolves to Yes.
- Above 25.4%
- If the OpenAI Vercel share of AI Gateway requests across the top labs for Oct 12, 2026 is above 25.4%, then the market resolves to Yes.
- Above 26.1%
- If the OpenAI Vercel share of AI Gateway requests across the top labs for Oct 12, 2026 is above 26.1%, then the market resolves to Yes.
- Above 26.8%
- If the OpenAI Vercel share of AI Gateway requests across the top labs for Oct 12, 2026 is above 26.8%, then the market resolves to Yes.
- Above 27.5%
- If the OpenAI Vercel share of AI Gateway requests across the top labs for Oct 12, 2026 is above 27.5%, then the market resolves to Yes.
- Above 28.5%
- If the OpenAI Vercel share of AI Gateway requests across the top labs for Oct 12, 2026 is above 28.5%, then the market resolves to Yes.
