When will the NHS decide to end its Palantir contract?
One-OffCorporate ActionsBusiness & Corporate5mo
KalshiCheck availabilityKYC required2% feeVerified resolution dataFairly calibratedData quality warningNo live quotes
Data as of Sep 9, 2026, 1:40 AM UTC · policy pm-quality-3
Current implied probability
Before Apr 1, 2027 64%
Market quality
32 / 100
Low quality24h Volume
—
Liquidity
$200
Low liquidityBid / Ask
52.0% / 59.0%
Spread
7.0 pt
Wide spreadMarket data
Updated 8 minutes ago
Aug 25, 26, 10:00 PM UTCFeb 15, 27, 4:59 AM UTC
Trends
0%
Rules
If NHS England, the UK government, or another legally authorized contracting entity formally decides to end the NHS Federated Data Platform and Associated Services agreement as a whole with the Palantir-led supplier, either by exercising a break or termination right or by declining the next contractual extension after Issuance and the named outcome, then the market resolves to Yes.
Settles via:The New York Timesthe Associated PressBloomberg NewsReutersAxiosPoliticoSemaforThe InformationThe Washington PostThe Wall Street JournalABCCBSCNNFox NewsMSNBCNBCBBCThe GuardianABC News AustraliaSouth China Morning PostCBC
- Only reporting from a Source Agency qualifies for the purposes of this market.
- Reports that merely reference prior publications (from before Issuance) do not qualify.
- Republishing of content originally produced by other sources (e.g., wire services) only qualifies if the content is hosted on the outlet's official platform and the outlet is clearly identified as the publishing entity.
- The Palantir-led NHS Federated Data Platform and Associated Services agreement qualifies only if NHS England, the UK government, or another legally authorized contracting entity makes a final, formal decision that the agreement as a whole will end with the Palantir-led supplier.
- This may occur by exercising a break or termination right or by formally declining the next contractual extension so that the agreement ends at the close of the current committed term.
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Frequently asked questions
- What are the current odds for When will the NHS decide to end its Palantir contract??
- Kalshi prices Before Apr 1, 2027 at 64% as of September 9, 2026.
- When does When will the NHS decide to end its Palantir contract? resolve?
- When will the NHS decide to end its Palantir contract? is scheduled to resolve on February 15, 2027.
- How is When will the NHS decide to end its Palantir contract? settled?
- Kalshi settles this market as follows: If NHS England, the UK government, or another legally authorized contracting entity formally decides to end the NHS Federated Data Platform and Associated Services agreement as a whole with the Palantir-led supplier, either by exercising a break or termination right or by declining the next contractual extension after Issuance and the named outcome, then the market resolves to Yes.