When will the NHS decide to end its Palantir contract?
One-OffCorporate ActionsBusiness & Corporate3mo
KalshiCheck availabilityKYC requiredVerified resolution dataWell calibratedData quality warningStale data
Data as of Oct 27, 2026, 10:53 AM UTC · policy pm-quality-4
Selected book midpoint
Before Apr 1, 2027 · —
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Stored price
Before Apr 1, 2027 58.5%
Before Apr 1, 2027 58.5%Market quality
17 / 100
Low quality24h Volume
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Open interest
$207
Low open interestBid / Ask
— / —
Before Apr 1, 2027Spread
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Market data
Updated 2 hours ago
StaleAug 25, 26, 10:00 PM UTCFeb 15, 27, 4:59 AM UTC
Chart and changes show stored historical probabilities, not the selected live book.
Trends
Selected row: book midpoint. Other rows: stored references, possibly normalized; 24h changes use stored history.
Venue terms
Source: Kalshi
Informational venue terms only; CoinRithm paper trading uses its own rules.
- Early close:
- Yes
- Settlement timer:
- 30m (informational)
Market depth · Before Apr 1, 2027
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Rules
If NHS England, the UK government, or another legally authorized contracting entity formally decides to end the NHS Federated Data Platform and Associated Services agreement as a whole with the Palantir-led supplier, either by exercising a break or termination right or by declining the next contractual extension after Issuance and before Apr 1, 2027, then the market resolves to Yes.
Settles via:The New York Timesthe Associated PressBloomberg NewsReutersAxiosPoliticoSemaforThe InformationThe Washington PostThe Wall Street JournalABCCBSCNNFox NewsMSNBCNBCBBCThe GuardianABC News AustraliaSouth China Morning PostCBC
- Only reporting from a Source Agency qualifies for the purposes of this market. Reports that merely reference prior publications (from before Issuance) do not qualify. Republishing of content originally produced by other sources (e.g., wire services) only qualifies if the content is hosted on the outlet's official platform and the outlet is clearly identified as the publishing entity. The Palantir-led NHS Federated Data Platform and Associated Services agreement qualifies only if NHS England, the UK government, or another legally authorized contracting entity makes a final, formal decision that the agreement as a whole will end with the Palantir-led supplier. This may occur by exercising a break or termination right or by formally declining the next contractual extension so that the agreement ends at the close of the current committed term. Termination or expiry of an individual Statement of Work, optional service, work package, call-off, or other component does NOT qualify. Recommendations, reviews, advice, possible exit plans, discussions of non-extension, conditional statements, and speculation do NOT qualify. Natural expiry qualifies only if qualifying reporting states that a legally authorized entity has formally declined the next extension, causing the agreement as a whole to end with the Palantir-led supplier.
Rules for each outcome
- Before Apr 1, 2027
- If NHS England, the UK government, or another legally authorized contracting entity formally decides to end the NHS Federated Data Platform and Associated Services agreement as a whole with the Palantir-led supplier, either by exercising a break or termination right or by declining the next contractual extension after Issuance and before Apr 1, 2027, then the market resolves to Yes.
- Before Feb 15, 2027
- If NHS England, the UK government, or another legally authorized contracting entity formally decides to end the NHS Federated Data Platform and Associated Services agreement as a whole with the Palantir-led supplier, either by exercising a break or termination right or by declining the next contractual extension after Issuance and before Feb 15, 2027, then the market resolves to Yes.
