Will the Treasury grant retroactive cannabis tax relief?
One-OffRegulationUS PoliticsMacro & Economy2mo
KalshiCheck availabilityKYC requiredVerified resolution dataWell calibratedSelected book midpoint
Before Jul 1, 2027 · —
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Stored price
Before Jul 1, 2027 55.5%Leader of 3 outcomes
Before Jul 1, 2027 55.5%Market quality
38 / 100
Low quality24h Volume
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Open interest
$3.3K
Medium open interestBid / Ask
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Before Jul 1, 2027Spread
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Market data
Updated 18 minutes ago
May 4, 26, 6:00 PM UTCJan 1, 27, 4:59 AM UTC
Chart and changes show stored historical probabilities, not the selected live book.
Trends
Selected row: book midpoint. Other rows: stored references, possibly normalized; 24h changes use stored history.
Venue terms
Source: Kalshi
Informational venue terms only; CoinRithm paper trading uses its own rules.
- Early close:
- Yes
- Settlement timer:
- 30m (informational)
Market depth · Before Jul 1, 2027
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Macro-Sensitive Assets
Related Markets
Related questions for context, not a comparison of equivalent contracts.
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Manifold MarketsRules
If the U.S. Department of the Treasury or the Internal Revenue Service (IRS) announces prior-year Section 280E relief for state-licensed medical marijuana businesses before Jul 1, 2027, then the market resolves to Yes.
Settles via:ABCthe Federal RegisterThe InformationMSNBCthe White HouseCBSsocial media of the White House and the President of the United Statesthe Associated PressThe Washington PostAxiosCNNThe Wall Street JournalFox NewsThe New York TimesNBCU.S. Department of the TreasuryInternal Revenue ServiceSemaforPoliticoBloomberg NewsReutersthe President of the United Statessocial media of the White House
Rules for each outcome
- Before Jul 1, 2027
- If the U.S. Department of the Treasury or the Internal Revenue Service (IRS) announces prior-year Section 280E relief for state-licensed medical marijuana businesses before Jul 1, 2027, then the market resolves to Yes.
- Before Apr 1, 2027
- If the U.S. Department of the Treasury or the Internal Revenue Service (IRS) announces prior-year Section 280E relief for state-licensed medical marijuana businesses before Apr 1, 2027, then the market resolves to Yes.
- Before Jan 1, 2027
- If the U.S. Department of the Treasury or the Internal Revenue Service (IRS) announces prior-year Section 280E relief for state-licensed medical marijuana businesses before Jan 1, 2027, then the market resolves to Yes.
