Manifold MarketsNo KYCVerified resolution dataFairly calibratedCurrent community forecastNo 93.8%
Forecasters
13
Question type
binary
Methodology
Play-money forecasting platform
Source type
Forecast
Market data
Updated 29 minutes ago
May 3, 25, 7:19 AM UTCDec 31, 28, 12:00 AM UTC
Trends
Related Markets
Related questions for context, not a comparison of equivalent contracts.
The current German government of CDU/CSU and SPD dissolves prior to February 2029 elections?
Manifold MarketsWill US cannabis legalization reverse in any state within 5 years?
Manifold MarketsWill German far-right party AfD be banned by the German government?
Manifold MarketsWill the German government raise the sales tax before the next federal election?
Manifold MarketsWill cannabis banking insurance protections become law in 2026?
KalshiWill the Treasury grant retroactive cannabis tax relief?
KalshiRules
This market predicts whether the German government will reverse the legalized consumption of cannabis in the cannabis legalization law enacted in April 2024 before Dec 31, 2028.
- The law currently allows adults to possess up to 25 grams of cannabis in public and cultivate up to three plants for personal use.
- Resolution will be based on official government announcements or legislative actions reversing the law.
