Will cannabis banking insurance protections become law in 2026?
RegulationYearlyUS PoliticsPoliticsElection3mo
KalshiCheck availabilityKYC required2% feeVerified resolution dataFairly calibratedCurrent implied probability
No 84%
Market quality
≤49 / 100
Low quality24h Volume
—
Liquidity
$3.2K
Medium liquidityBid / Ask
12.0% / 16.0%
Spread
4.0 pt
Moderate spreadMarket data
Updated 4 minutes ago
Dec 20, 25, 3:00 PM UTCJan 1, 27, 3:00 PM UTC
Trends
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Manifold MarketsRules
If legislation that forbids federal banking regulators from terminating or limiting FDIC/NCUA insurance solely because a depository institution provides financial services to a state/tribal-legal cannabis business has become law after Issuance and before Jan 1, 2027, then the market resolves to Yes.
Settles via:Library of Congress
- The bill must pass the full chamber (not just committee) for House or Senate passage.
- For "become law" markets, the bill must be signed by the President or become law through veto override.
- Presidential pocket vetoes that expire resolve to No. Joint resolutions are treated as bills.
- Treaties require two-thirds Senate approval for passage.
- The market resolves based on the first occurrence of the specified milestone.
Open markets
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+7 more outcomes
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- Yes+2.0pt16.8%
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- Before Mar 1, 2027+4.0pt98%
- Before Apr 1, 2027-2.0pt95%
- Before Feb 1, 202793%
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- December 31-2.2pt16%
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Frequently asked questions
- What are the current odds for Will cannabis banking insurance protections become law in 2026??
- Kalshi prices No at 84% as of September 10, 2026.
- When does Will cannabis banking insurance protections become law in 2026? resolve?
- Will cannabis banking insurance protections become law in 2026? is scheduled to resolve on January 1, 2027.
- How is Will cannabis banking insurance protections become law in 2026? settled?
- Kalshi settles this market as follows: If legislation that forbids federal banking regulators from terminating or limiting FDIC/NCUA insurance solely because a depository institution provides financial services to a state/tribal-legal cannabis business has become law after Issuance and before Jan 1, 2027, then the market resolves to Yes.