KalshiCheck availabilityKYC required2% feeVerified resolution dataFairly calibratedCurrent implied probability
61.0% to 61.4% 33.3%Leader of 5 outcomesVig-adjusted: raw venue quotes summed above 100% and were normalized.
Market quality
39 / 100
Low quality24h Volume
—
Liquidity
$1.8K
Low liquiditySpread
8.0 pt
Wide spreadMarket data
Updated 15 minutes ago
Jul 7, 26, 11:00 PM UTCJan 8, 27, 1:29 PM UTC
Trends
Related Markets
Related questions for context, not a comparison of equivalent contracts.
US labor force participation rate at year-end 2026
KalshiUS labor force participation rate at year-end 2028
KalshiUS labor force participation rate at year-end 2029
KalshiCATL receives license renewal for Yichun Lithium mine by end of Feb 2027?
Manifold MarketsWill Canva’s valuation hit __ by December 31?
PolymarketWhat will the median home value in the LA Metro area be on September 30?
PolymarketRules
If the US labor force participation rate for December 2026 is below 60.5%, as represented by the one-decimal place value reported by Trading Economics, then the market resolves to Yes.
Settles via:Trading Economics
- For purposes of this market, “year-end 2026” means the December 2026 reference month.
- The market will resolve based on the first value published for December 2026.
- Later revisions, corrections, or updates will not affect resolution.
- If Trading Economics is unavailable or does not publish the relevant December 2026 value, Kalshi may use the corresponding value from the U.S. Bureau of Labor Statistics or FRED series CIVPART.
- If the US labor force participation rate for December 2026 is between 60.5% and 60.9%, as represented by the one-decimal place value reported by Trading Economics, then the market resolves to Yes.
Frequently asked questions
- What are the current odds for US labor force participation rate at year-end 2026?
- Kalshi prices 61.0% to 61.4% at 33% as of September 9, 2026.
- When does US labor force participation rate at year-end 2026 resolve?
- US labor force participation rate at year-end 2026 is scheduled to resolve on January 8, 2027.
- How is US labor force participation rate at year-end 2026 settled?
- Kalshi settles this market as follows: If the US labor force participation rate for December 2026 is below 60.5%, as represented by the one-decimal place value reported by Trading Economics, then the market resolves to Yes.