KalshiCheck availabilityKYC requiredVerified resolution dataFairly calibratedCurrent implied probability
OpenAI 84.3%Leader of 11 outcomesVig-adjusted: raw venue quotes summed above 100% and were normalized.
OpenAI 84.3%Market quality
43 / 100
Low quality24h Volume
$10.8K
Liquidity
$10.8K
Medium liquidityMarket data
Updated 6 minutes ago
Sep 25, 26, 4:00 PM UTCOct 2, 26, 2:00 PM UTC
Trends
Venue terms
Source: Kalshi
Informational venue terms only; CoinRithm paper trading uses its own rules.
- Early close:
- Yes
- Settlement timer:
- 30m (informational)
Related Markets
Related questions for context, not a comparison of equivalent contracts.
Which company has the best Text-to-Image AI end of October?
PolymarketWhich company has the best Text-to-Image AI end of September?
PolymarketWhich company has the best Text-to-Image AI end of November?
PolymarketOpen Weights text-to-image model with Elo ≥ 1200 on Artificial Analysis by EOY 2026?
Manifold MarketsBest AI at the end of 2026?
KalshiWhich company has the best AI model end of September?
PolymarketRules
If OpenAI is the #1 model on Artificial Analysis Text to Image Leaderboard on Oct 2, 2026 at 10:00am ET, then the market resolves to Yes.
Settles via:Artificial Analysis - Image Arena
- Tied rankings shall be resolved using the publisher's official tie-breaking methodology; if none exists, all tied entities share the highest rank among them.
- If multiple candidates are tied for a given rank, then their Contracts will resolve to $1/(the number of candidates tied), rounded down.
- Kalshi is not affiliated, associated, authorized, endorsed by, or in any way officially connected with the Governing League.
- All trademarks, logos, and brand names are the property of their respective owners.
- If Reve is the #1 model on Artificial Analysis Text to Image Leaderboard on Oct 2, 2026 at 10:00am ET, then the market resolves to Yes.