KalshiCheck availabilityKYC requiredVerified resolution dataFairly calibratedCurrent implied probability
Above 126T tokens 99%+5.0ptLeader of 21 outcomes
Market quality
70 / 100
Medium quality24h Volume
$15.1K
Liquidity
$19.4K
Medium liquiditySpread
1.0 pt
Tight spreadMarket data
Updated 5 minutes ago
Sep 21, 26, 4:00 PM UTCSep 28, 26, 3:59 AM UTC
Trends
Venue terms
Source: Kalshi
Informational venue terms only; CoinRithm paper trading uses its own rules.
- Early close:
- Yes
- Settlement timer:
- 30m (informational)
Related Markets
Related questions for context, not a comparison of equivalent contracts.
OpenRouter AI token usage in September
KalshiHow much will global AI inference token usage grow from 2029 to 2030?
Manifold MarketsWill Github Copilot revert back to their original token usage plan?
Manifold MarketsBest AI at the end of 2026?
KalshiTrump renames AI by September 30?
PolymarketWhich company has the best AI model end of September?
PolymarketRules
If the OpenRouter total token usage for Sep 21–27, 2026 is the named outcome, then the market resolves to Yes.
Settles via:OpenRouter - AI Model Rankings
- This event will resolve based on the value for the seven UTC calendar days from Sep 21–27, 2026, as observed at 10:00 AM ET on Sep 28, 2026.
- For purposes of this market, “token usage” means the token usage included in OpenRouter's AI Model Rankings and does not represent total AI token usage across all providers or platforms.
- Kalshi is not affiliated, associated, authorized, endorsed by, or in any way officially connected with OpenRouter.
- All trademarks, logos, and brand names are the property of their respective owners.
Open markets
AIKALSHIWhat will Trump say during his remarks at Xi Jinping’s state arrival?
- China (5+ times)-22.0pt52%
- Melania+1.0pt45%
- Peace44%
+24 more outcomes
- Total Vol
- $125.7K
- 24h Vol
- $114.7K
KALSHIBest AI at the end of 2026?
- Claude+1.1pt70.3%
- ChatGPT-1.9pt12.9%
- Gemini+0.3pt8.9%
+5 more outcomes
- Total Vol
- $11.9M
POLYMARKETTrump renames AI by September 30?
- No+11.0pt74.3%
- Yes-11.0pt25.7%
- Total Vol
- $152K
- 24h Vol
- $81.1K
POLYMARKETWhich company has the best AI model end of September?
- Anthropic+0.4pt99%
- OpenAI-0.2pt1%
- Meta0%
+18 more outcomes
KALSHIBest AI this week
- Claude-2.0pt90.5%
- ChatGPT1.9%
- Gemini+1.0pt1.9%
+6 more outcomes
- Total Vol
- $156.4K
- 24h Vol
POLYMARKETBest Chinese AI Company end of September?
- Alibaba+0.5pt91%
- Moonshot-0.6pt6%
- Z.ai-0.1pt1%
+8 more outcomes
- Anthropic market share this week
- Will Anthropic’s valuation hit __ by December 31?
- Anthropic IPO Closing Market Cap
- Next Claude Opus Model: Text Arena Debut?
- Best AI in Sep 2026?
- Anthropic IPO by which date?
- Qwen market share this week
- OpenAI IPO Closing Market Cap
- U.S. enacts AI safety bill before 2027?
- OpenAI market share this week
- DeepSeek market share this week
Frequently asked questions
- What are the current odds for OpenRouter token usage in Sep 21–27?
- Kalshi prices Above 126T tokens at 99% as of September 24, 2026.
- When does OpenRouter token usage in Sep 21–27 resolve?
- OpenRouter token usage in Sep 21–27 is scheduled to resolve on September 28, 2026.
- How is OpenRouter token usage in Sep 21–27 settled?
- Kalshi settles this market as follows: If the OpenRouter total token usage for Sep 21–27, 2026 is the named outcome, then the market resolves to Yes.