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  3. How high will the IBOVESPA get in 2026?
How high will the IBOVESPA get in 2026?

How high will the IBOVESPA get in 2026?

6.0% (24h)One-OffEquitiesLatin AmericaMacro & Economy6mo
KalshiKalshiCheck availabilityKYC required2% fee
Current implied probability
At least R$173,500
At least R$173,500 87%+6.0%
Leader of 10 outcomes
Market quality

44 / 100

Low quality
24h Volume

$23.9

Liquidity

$146.7

Low liquidity
Bid / Ask

89.0% / 93.0%

Spread

4.5%

Moderate spread
Market data

Updated 7 minutes ago

Jun 16, 26, 9:00 PMJan 1, 27, 3:00 PM

Trends

Outcome24hChance

Selected outcome

At least R$173,50087%

Rules

If the value of IBOVESPA (IBOV) is at least R$170,500 from Jun 16, 2026 to Dec 31, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.

Kalshi
  • The market resolves based on the value of the IBOVESPA as reported by the Trading View, using the index's natively published level in its own currency and units; no currency conversion is applied.
  • It is sufficient for the index to reach or exceed R$170,500 at any single point during from Jun 16, 2026 to Dec 31, 2026 for the market to resolve to Yes — the level does not need to be sustained.
  • If the index does not reach R$170,500 at any point during from Jun 16, 2026 to Dec 31, 2026, the market resolves to No.
  • Revisions to the underlying made after expiration will not be accounted for in determining the Expiration Value.
  • If no data is available for from Jun 16, 2026 to Dec 31, 2026 by the Expiration Date, all strikes other than "No data" or "None" resolve to No.

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Active in these topics

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Rules

If the value of IBOVESPA (IBOV) is at least R$170,500 from Jun 16, 2026 to Dec 31, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.

Kalshi
  • The market resolves based on the value of the IBOVESPA as reported by the Trading View, using the index's natively published level in its own currency and units; no currency conversion is applied.
  • It is sufficient for the index to reach or exceed R$170,500 at any single point during from Jun 16, 2026 to Dec 31, 2026 for the market to resolve to Yes — the level does not need to be sustained.
  • If the index does not reach R$170,500 at any point during from Jun 16, 2026 to Dec 31, 2026, the market resolves to No.
  • Revisions to the underlying made after expiration will not be accounted for in determining the Expiration Value.
  • If no data is available for from Jun 16, 2026 to Dec 31, 2026 by the Expiration Date, all strikes other than "No data" or "None" resolve to No.