KalshiCheck availabilityKYC required2% feeVerified resolution dataFairly calibratedCurrent implied probability
Yes 52%
Market quality
71 / 100
Medium quality24h Volume
$10.2K
Liquidity
$9.7K
Medium liquidityBid / Ask
52.0% / 55.0%
Spread
3.0 pt
Moderate spreadMarket data
Updated 3 minutes ago
Sep 9, 26, 12:00 AM UTCSep 9, 26, 8:00 PM UTC
Trends
Related Markets
Related questions for context, not a comparison of equivalent contracts.
Rules
If the end-of-day price of the S&P 500 on September 09, 2026 is above 7673.52, then the market resolves to Yes.
Settles via:For example, Google Finance
- The target value is the end-of-day/closing price of the prior week's close.
Open markets
Equities
POLYMARKETLargest Company end of December 2026?
- NVIDIA-0.5pt78.2%
- Apple-0.1pt13.9%
- Alphabet6.9%
+5 more outcomes
- Total Vol
- $6.9M
- 24h Vol
- $119.5K
KALSHIS&P close price end of 2026?
- 7,800 to 7,999.9916.8%
- 8,000 to 8,199.99+1.0pt14.9%
- 7,400 to 7,599.99+3.0pt9.3%
+24 more outcomes
- Total Vol
- $6.5M
KALSHIBoeing commercial airplane deliveries in 2026
- Above 56095%
- Above 580-1.0pt90%
- Above 60086%
+5 more outcomes
- Total Vol
- $216.2K
- 24h Vol
- $39.5K
KALSHINasdaq-100 close price end of 2026?
- 33,000.01 or above+5.0pt16.8%
- 30,000 to 30,499.99+1.0pt6.9%
- 30,500 to 30,999.99-1.0pt6.9%
+27 more outcomes
POLYMARKETAnthropic IPO Closing Market Cap
- $2.25–$2.5T+6.5pt24%
- $2.0–$2.25T+0.4pt21.1%
- $1.75–$2.0T-7.0pt18.3%
+7 more outcomes
KALSHINasdaq-100 price on Sep 9, 2026 at 4pm EDT?
- 29,520 or above78%
- 29,550 or above64%
- 29,510 or above61%
+97 more outcomes
- Total Vol
- $22.6K
- 24h Vol
- $20.1K
- S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on September 9?
- STRC hits $100 by…
- How high will the Nikkei 225 get in 2026?
- S&P price on Sep 9, 2026 at 4pm EDT?
- What will Airbnb, Inc. (ABNB) hit Week of September 7 2026?
- Will OpenAI's valuation hit __ by December 31?
- Will the S&P finish positive this year?
- Anthropic IPO Closing Market Cap (Middle Brackets)
- What will S&P 500 (SPY) hit in September 2026?
- Largest IPO by market cap in 2026?
- SPY (SPY) Up or Down on September 9?
Frequently asked questions
- What are the current odds for S&P 500 Daily Up/Down?
- Kalshi prices Yes at 52% as of September 9, 2026.
- When does S&P 500 Daily Up/Down resolve?
- S&P 500 Daily Up/Down is scheduled to resolve on September 9, 2026.
- How is S&P 500 Daily Up/Down settled?
- Kalshi settles this market as follows: If the end-of-day price of the S&P 500 on September 09, 2026 is above 7673.52, then the market resolves to Yes.