KalshiCheck availabilityKYC required2% feeVerified resolution dataFairly calibratedCurrent implied probability
Deel 62.6%Vig-adjusted: raw venue quotes summed above 100% and were normalized.
Market quality
33 / 100
Low quality24h Volume
—
Liquidity
$2.2K
Low liquidityBid / Ask
56.0% / 92.0%
Spread
36.0 pt
Wide spreadMarket data
Updated 7 minutes ago
Aug 6, 25, 9:10 PM UTCJan 1, 40, 4:59 AM UTC
Trends
Related Markets
Related questions for context, not a comparison of equivalent contracts.
When will Deel officially announce an IPO?
KalshiAnthropic IPO by which date?
PolymarketWhen will Anthropic officially announce an IPO?
KalshiIsraeli Legislative Election Winner
PolymarketWill Anthropic’s valuation hit __ by December 31?
PolymarketWhich companies will officially announce an IPO this year?
KalshiRules
If Deel confirms an IPO first, before Jan 1, 2040, then the market resolves to Yes.
Settles via:Securities and Exchange CommissionNYSEthe New York TimesThe Wall Street JournalBloombergBBCABCReutersCNBCFinancial Times
- If Rippling confirms an IPO first, before Jan 1, 2040, then the market resolves to Yes.
Open markets
Corporate ActionsPOLYMARKETAnthropic IPO by which date?
- December 31,+0.5pt89%
- December 15,86%
- November 30,-1.0pt84%
+7 more outcomes
- Total Vol
- $2.8M
- 24h Vol
- $37.7K
POLYMARKETIsraeli Legislative Election Winner
- Yashar+4.5pt60.4%
- Likud-4.0pt39.6%
- Together-0.1pt0%
+3 more outcomes
POLYMARKETWill Anthropic’s valuation hit __ by December 31?
- ↑$1.25T+1.3pt100%
- ↑$1.1T+3.6pt100%
- ↑$1.0T+2.4pt100%
+10 more outcomes
KALSHIWhen will Anthropic officially announce an IPO?
- Before Mar 1, 2027+4.0pt98%
- Before Apr 1, 2027-2.0pt95%
- Before Feb 1, 202793%
+9 more outcomes
- Total Vol
- $1.7M
POLYMARKETAnthropic IPO Closing Market Cap
- $2.0–$2.25T+2.9pt24.5%
- $2.25–$2.5T-6.0pt20.6%
- $1.75–$2.0T18.6%
+7 more outcomes
POLYMARKETWho will close Warner Bros. acquisition?
- Paramount-7.0pt71%
- None by June 30, 2027-5.0pt18%
- Netflix0%
+1 more outcomes
- IPOs before 2027?
- Will GameStop acquire eBay in 2026?
- Oura IPO Closing Market Cap
- SB Energy IPO by which date?
- Will Kraken's valuation hit __ by December 31?
- Which companies will officially announce an IPO this year?
- Anthropic IPO Closing Market Cap (Middle Brackets)
- When will Tesla and SpaceX merge?
- Will California authorize an alternative wage or other qualifying relief from goat-herder wage and overtime obligations before Oct 1, 2026?
- Discord IPO Closing Market Cap
- Will OpenAI's valuation hit __ by December 31?
Frequently asked questions
- What are the current odds for Will Deel or Rippling IPO first??
- Kalshi prices Deel at 63% as of September 10, 2026.
- When does Will Deel or Rippling IPO first? resolve?
- Will Deel or Rippling IPO first? is scheduled to resolve on January 1, 2040.
- How is Will Deel or Rippling IPO first? settled?
- Kalshi settles this market as follows: If Deel confirms an IPO first, before Jan 1, 2040, then the market resolves to Yes.