KalshiCheck availabilityKYC requiredVerified resolution dataWell calibratedData quality warningNot meaningfully priced
Data as of Oct 26, 2026, 4:28 AM UTC · policy pm-quality-4
Selected book midpoint
Before 2028 · —
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Stored price
Before 2028 22.5%
Before 2028 22.5%Market quality
36 / 100
Low quality24h Volume
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Open interest
$0
Open interest unknownBid / Ask
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Before 2028Spread
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Market data
Updated 26 minutes ago
Oct 21, 26, 6:00 PM UTCJan 1, 27, 4:59 AM UTC
Chart and changes show stored historical probabilities, not the selected live book.
Trends
Selected row: book midpoint. Other rows: stored references, possibly normalized; 24h changes use stored history.
Venue terms
Source: Kalshi
Informational venue terms only; CoinRithm paper trading uses its own rules.
- Early close:
- Yes
- Settlement timer:
- 30m (informational)
Market depth · Before 2028
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Rules
If Chile and Bolivia agree to or announce the restoration of full diplomatic relations between them at the ambassadorial level before Jan 1, 2028, then the market resolves to Yes.
Settles via:Ministerio de Relaciones Exteriores de ChileMinisterio de Relaciones Exteriores de BoliviaReutersthe Associated Press
- A qualifying agreement or announcement is a joint decision or statement by Chile and Bolivia, or contemporaneous official statements from both governments, committing to restore diplomatic relations at the ambassadorial level, including by exchanging ambassadors. A commitment to restore full diplomatic relations, or relations at the highest diplomatic level, counts. It qualifies even if it takes effect later or names no ambassadors. An announcement that the two countries are restoring or re-establishing diplomatic relations, without stating a level, also counts unless the same announcement places the relations below ambassadorial level. Naming an ambassador, or an announcement by only one government, qualifies only if the other government also confirms it. Statements that the two countries will work or advance toward normalization without committing to restore relations at the ambassadorial level, meetings of the Mecanismo de Consultas Políticas, and relations restored only below the ambassadorial level (such as consulates general or chargés d'affaires) do not qualify. A retraction is not itself a qualifying announcement, and a retraction after a qualifying agreement does not undo it; this market closes and expires early when the agreement is made. An agreement or announcement qualifies if it involves any of the following: Formal signing of treaties Parliamentary approval with binding effect Official ratification Formal commitment by the head of state/government with constitutional authority Official statements by authorized ministers Official press releases Formal declarations during government proceedings Official statements to international bodies Phased implementation announcements and multi-party agreements where the country is a signatory also qualify. The following do NOT qualify: Preliminary discussions Conditional agreements contingent on circumstances Opposition party statements Leaked documents Think-tank recommendations General aspirations without specific commitment Draft legislation without approval Regional actions (unless specified) Retraction of previously announced commitments
Rules for each outcome
- Before 2028
- If Chile and Bolivia agree to or announce the restoration of full diplomatic relations between them at the ambassadorial level before Jan 1, 2028, then the market resolves to Yes.
- Before 2027
- If Chile and Bolivia agree to or announce the restoration of full diplomatic relations between them at the ambassadorial level before Jan 1, 2027, then the market resolves to Yes.
