KalshiCheck availabilityKYC required2% feeVerified resolution dataFairly calibratedCurrent implied probability
Yes 65%
Market quality
39 / 100
Low quality24h Volume
—
Liquidity
$50.2
Low liquidityBid / Ask
57.0% / 64.0%
Spread
7.0 pt
Wide spreadMarket data
Updated 8 minutes ago
Aug 24, 26, 9:00 PM UTCJun 4, 27, 3:59 AM UTC
Trends
Rules
If the California Attorney General and Paramount Skydance file a stipulated settlement or consent judgment resolving California's lawsuit over the Warner Bros.
Settles via:U.S. District Court for the Northern District of CaliforniaCalifornia Department of Justice
- Discovery acquisition after Issuance and before Jun 4, 2027, then the market resolves to Yes.
- Only reporting from the U.S. District Court for the Northern District of California or the California Department of Justice qualifies for the purposes of this market.
- Reports that merely reference prior publications (from before Issuance) do not qualify.
- Republishing of content originally produced by other sources (e.g., wire services) only qualifies if the content is hosted on the outlet's official platform and the outlet is clearly identified as the publishing entity.
- A settlement means a stipulated dismissal, consent judgment or settlement agreement filed with the court in No. 4:26-cv-07116.
Open markets
Corporate Actions
POLYMARKETAnthropic IPO by which date?
- December 31,+0.5pt88%
- December 15,86%
- November 30,+1.0pt85%
+7 more outcomes
- Total Vol
- $2.8M
- 24h Vol
- $113.6K
KALSHIWhen will Anthropic officially announce an IPO?
- Before Apr 1, 2027+5.0pt97%
- Before Jan 1, 2027+5.0pt96%
- Before Mar 1, 2027-1.0pt94%
+9 more outcomes
POLYMARKETAnthropic IPO Closing Market Cap
- $2.25–$2.5T+8.5pt26.2%
- $2.0–$2.25T+0.1pt21.4%
- $1.75–$2.0T-7.0pt18.4%
+7 more outcomes
KALSHIWill GameStop acquire eBay in 2026?
- No93%
- Yes-1.0pt7%
- Total Vol
- $3.1M
- 24h Vol
- $20.7K
POLYMARKETWill the US acquire part of Greenland in 2026?
- No+0.5pt94%
- Yes-0.5pt6%
- Total Vol
- $10.6M
- 24h Vol
- $16.3K
POLYMARKETWill GameStop acquire eBay?
- No92.1%
- Yes7.9%
- Total Vol
- $2.9M
- 24h Vol
- $15K
- Will OpenAI's valuation hit __ by December 31?
- Tesla and SpaceX merger officially announced by which date?
- What will OpenAI's IPO valuation be?
- Anthropic IPO Closing Market Cap (Middle Brackets)
- Largest IPO by market cap in 2026?
- In which month will Anthropic IPO?
- OpenAI IPO Closing Market Cap
- Which companies will be acquired before 2027?
- Who will successfully take over Warner Brothers?
- Israeli Legislative Election Winner
Frequently asked questions
- What are the current odds for Will California and Paramount settle the WBD merger suit??
- Kalshi prices Yes at 65% as of September 9, 2026.
- When does Will California and Paramount settle the WBD merger suit? resolve?
- Will California and Paramount settle the WBD merger suit? is scheduled to resolve on June 4, 2027.
- How is Will California and Paramount settle the WBD merger suit? settled?
- Kalshi settles this market as follows: If the California Attorney General and Paramount Skydance file a stipulated settlement or consent judgment resolving California's lawsuit over the Warner Bros.