KalshiCheck availabilityKYC requiredVerified resolution dataWell calibratedData quality warningNo live quotes
Data as of Oct 27, 2026, 11:56 PM UTC · policy pm-quality-4
Selected book midpoint
Before 2029 · —
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Stored price
Before 2029 39%
Before 2029 39%Market quality
34 / 100
Low quality24h Volume
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Open interest
$105
Low open interestBid / Ask
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Before 2029Spread
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Market data
Updated 16 minutes ago
Jul 1, 26, 2:27 AM UTCJan 8, 28, 3:00 PM UTC
Chart and changes show stored historical probabilities, not the selected live book.
Trends
Selected row: book midpoint. Other rows: stored references, possibly normalized; 24h changes use stored history.
Venue terms
Source: Kalshi
Informational venue terms only; CoinRithm paper trading uses its own rules.
- Early close:
- Yes
- Settlement timer:
- 30m (informational)
Market depth · Before 2029
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Related Markets
Related questions for context, not a comparison of equivalent contracts.
Will Blue Origin land an uncrewed Blue Moon MK1 lander on the moon before SpaceX lands an uncrewed Starship?
Manifold MarketsWill Blue Origin land on the moon before SpaceX?
KalshiAnother Blue Origin rocket explodes by Oct 31?
PolymarketWill Blue Origin's first Blue Moon HLS mission successfully land on the moon?
Manifold MarketsWill the Department of Government Efficiency recommend cancelling Blue Origin's Human Landing System before 2029?
Manifold MarketsWill New Glenn (Blue Origin) reach Mars before Starship/Falcon (SpaceX)
Manifold MarketsRules
If Blue Origin launches New Shepard After issuance and before Jan 1, 2029, then the market resolves to Yes.
Rules for each outcome
- Before 2029
- If Blue Origin launches New Shepard After issuance and before Jan 1, 2029, then the market resolves to Yes.
- Before July, 2028
- If Blue Origin launches New Shepard After issuance and before Jul 1, 2028, then the market resolves to Yes.