Current community forecast
No 95%
Forecasters
18
Question type
binary
Methodology
Play-money forecasting platform
Source type
Forecast
Market data
Updated 1 hour ago
LaggingNov 13, 24, 3:34 AM UTCDec 31, 28, 3:59 PM UTC
Trends
Related Markets
Related questions for context, not a comparison of equivalent contracts.
Will the Department of Government Efficiency recommend cancelling SLS before 2029?
Manifold MarketsWill Blue Origin's first Blue Moon HLS mission successfully land on the moon?
Manifold MarketsWhat words will the 'name' of the first Human Landing System to land on the moon include?
Manifold MarketsWill the first successful Artemis crewed lunar landing be done using a Blue Origin lander?
Manifold MarketsWhen will Blue Origin's New Glenn rocket launch?
KalshiAnother Blue Origin rocket explodes by Oct 31?
PolymarketRules
There needs to be an official statement attributable to DOGE.
- Elon Musk does not need to be associated with that statement.
- The Blue Origin HLS does not need to be cancelled, only that DOGE recommends it.
- If Blue Origin HLS is cancelled without any statement from DOGE this would resolve NO.
- If DOGE ceases to exist this can resolve NO early.
- I will not bet