KalshiClosedCheck availabilityKYC required2% feeVerified resolution dataFairly calibratedThis market resolved: Above 2.8% (82%)
Resolved: Sep 7, 2026, 3:27 PM
Provider-verified resolution
CoinRithm has provider-backed winner and settlement-time evidence for this market.
Current implied probability
Above 2.6% 99%Leader of 7 outcomes
Market quality
30 / 100
Low quality24h Volume
$3.6K
Liquidity
$30.6K
High liquidityMarket data
Updated 2 days ago
StaleAug 31, 26, 4:00 PM UTCSep 7, 26, 3:59 AM UTC
Probability Timeline
Above 2.8%99%
Above 2.4%99%
Above 3.0%5%
Above 2.6%99%
99%
99%
82%
5%
1%
1%
1%
Related Markets
Related questions for context, not a comparison of equivalent contracts.
Anthropic market share this week
KalshiWill CMI declare a Millennium Prize Problem solved by which date?
PolymarketAnthropic IPO by which date?
PolymarketWill Anthropic announce a solution to the Navier-Stokes Millennium problem before IPO?
Manifold MarketsBest AI at the end of 2026?
KalshiTop AI model in September?
KalshiRules
If Anthropic scores above 2.4% on OpenRouter text market share by model author week of Aug 31, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
Settles via:OpenRouter - AI Market Share
- This event will resolve based on 10:00AM ET Monday updated values for the week of Aug 31, 2026.
- If the named model author’s market share is not separately identified in the source chart, including if it is included in “Others,” all markets in the event will resolve to No. Kalshi is not affiliated, associated, authorized, endorsed by, or in any way officially connected with the governing benchmark.
- All trademarks, logos, and brand names are the property of their respective owners.
- If Anthropic scores above 2.6% on OpenRouter text market share by model author week of Aug 31, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
Open markets
AIPOLYMARKETWill CMI declare a Millennium Prize Problem solved by which date?
- 2028-11.0pt62.4%
- 2027-3.5pt29.7%
- 2026-1.5pt7.9%
- Total Vol
- $280.7K
- 24h Vol
- $148.9K
POLYMARKETAnthropic IPO by which date?
- December 31,-2.0pt88%
- December 15,86%
- November 30,+1.0pt85%
+7 more outcomes
- Total Vol
KALSHIBest AI at the end of 2026?
- Claude-1.7pt58.8%
- ChatGPT-2.1pt23.5%
- Grok+2.3pt7.8%
+5 more outcomes
- Total Vol
- $10.6M
KALSHITop AI model in September?
- claude-fable-5.1-max+1.0pt72%
- claude-opus-5-max+3.0pt10%
- claude-opus-4-6-thinking+1.0pt5%
+3 more outcomes
- Total Vol
KALSHIWhen will Anthropic officially announce an IPO?
- Before Apr 1, 2027+5.0pt97%
- Before Jan 1, 2027+5.0pt96%
- Before Mar 1, 2027-1.0pt94%
+9 more outcomes
KALSHIBest AI in Sep 2026?
- Claude+1.0pt80.6%
- ChatGPT-2.0pt10.2%
- Gemini+1.0pt2.8%
+4 more outcomes
- Total Vol
- $406.5K
- Gemini 4.0 released by which date?
- OpenAI’s Astra Model: Text Arena Debut?
- Tencent market share this week
- Anthropic market share this week
- Anthropic IPO Closing Market Cap
- OpenAI market share this week
- Best Chinese AI Company end of September?
- Will Anthropic’s valuation hit __ by December 31?
- Which company has best AI model end of 2026?
- Most popular AI this week
- DeepSeek market share this week
Frequently asked questions
- What are the current odds for Anthropic market share this week?
- Kalshi prices Above 2.6% at 99% as of September 7, 2026.
- When does Anthropic market share this week resolve?
- Anthropic market share this week is scheduled to resolve on September 7, 2026.
- How is Anthropic market share this week settled?
- Kalshi settles this market as follows: If Anthropic scores above 2.4% on OpenRouter text market share by model author week of Aug 31, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.