KalshiCheck availabilityKYC required2% feeVerified resolution dataFairly calibratedCurrent implied probability
Above 310 98%Leader of 14 outcomes
Market quality
32 / 100
Low quality24h Volume
$300
Liquidity
$1.2K
Low liquiditySpread
10.0 pt
Wide spreadMarket data
Updated 7 minutes ago
Aug 16, 26, 7:30 PM UTCSep 11, 26, 12:29 PM UTC
Trends
0%
0%
0%
0%
0%
0%
Macro-Sensitive Assets
Related Markets
Related questions for context, not a comparison of equivalent contracts.
Will international US airline passengers exceed 10.8 million in July 2026?
ForecastExWill domestic US airline passengers exceed 69 million in June 2026?
ForecastExWill domestic US airline passengers exceed 69.6 million in June 2026?
ForecastExCPI in August
KalshiUS gasoline CPI for August
KalshiUS shelter CPI in August
KalshiRules
If the Consumer Price Index for All Urban Consumers: Airline Fares in U.S. City Average for August 2026 is the named outcome, then the market resolves to Yes.
Settles via:FRED
- This market uses FRED series CUSR0000SETG01: Consumer Price Index for All Urban Consumers: Airline Fares in U.S. City Average, which is published monthly and is seasonally adjusted.
Open markets
Inflation
POLYMARKETFed Decision in September?
- 25 bps increase+2.0pt54%
- No change-3.0pt45%
- 50+ bps increase1%
+2 more outcomes
- Total Vol
- $104.5M
- 24h Vol
- $2M
KALSHIInflation in August 2026 (CPI YoY)
- Above 2.5%99%
- Above 2.6%99%
- Above 2.8%99%
+23 more outcomes
- Total Vol
- $629K
- 24h Vol
- $35.7K
KALSHICPI in August
- Above 0.1%99%
- Above -0.4%+1.0pt99%
- Above -0.3%99%
+12 more outcomes
- Total Vol
- $388.5K
- 24h Vol
- $14.9K
POLYMARKETFed rate hike by which date?
- October Meeting+1.0pt53.9%
- September Meeting+1.0pt46.1%
- April Meeting-0.1pt0%
+2 more outcomes
POLYMARKETCore CPI MoM - August 2026
- 0.2%-1.5pt51.4%
- 0.3%+4.5pt34.3%
- 0.1%-1.5pt10.5%
+4 more outcomes
KALSHINYC median asking rent in December 2026
- Above $3,80095%
- Above $3,90081%
- Above $4,000-1.0pt44%
+5 more outcomes
- Total Vol
- $90.3K
- 24h Vol
- How many Fed rate hikes in 2026?
- Fed rate hike in 2026?
- Will the Citrini scenario happen?
- Argentina Monthly Inflation - August
- Fed decisions (Jun-Sep)
- August Inflation US - Annual
- August Inflation US - Monthly
- CPI in September
- CPI core in August
- Fed decisions (Sep–Dec)
- State of the economy at the end of 2026
- August 2026 CPI MoM Combo: Headline & Core
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Frequently asked questions
- What are the current odds for US airline fares CPI for August?
- Kalshi prices Above 310 at 98% as of September 9, 2026.
- When does US airline fares CPI for August resolve?
- US airline fares CPI for August is scheduled to resolve on September 11, 2026.
- How is US airline fares CPI for August settled?
- Kalshi settles this market as follows: If the Consumer Price Index for All Urban Consumers: Airline Fares in U.S. City Average for August 2026 is the named outcome, then the market resolves to Yes.