KalshiClosedCheck availabilityKYC requiredVerified resolution dataWell calibratedThis market resolved: Above 4.72%
Resolved: Oct 22, 2026, 10:01 PM
Provider-verified resolution
CoinRithm has provider-backed winner and settlement-time evidence for this market.
Data quality warningStale data
Data as of Oct 22, 2026, 8:40 PM UTC · policy pm-quality-4
Trends
Above 4.76%Lost
Above 4.80%Lost
Above 4.72%Won
Above 4.73%Lost
Above 4.74%Lost
Above 4.75%Lost
Above 4.77%Lost
Above 4.78%Lost
Above 4.79%Lost
Above 4.81%Lost
Above 4.82%Lost
Above 4.83%Lost
Above 4.84%Lost
Above 4.85%Lost
Above 4.86%Lost
Above 4.87%Lost
Above 4.88%Lost
Above 4.89%Lost
Above 4.90%Lost
Above 4.91%Lost
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Rules
Archived event-level rules. The exact terms for each outcome are no longer available.
If the Pyth security yield for the 5-Year U.S. Treasury Note is above 4.72% at Oct 22, 2026 at 5:00pm ET, the market resolves to Yes.
Settles via:Pyth - 5Y UST
- Settlement uses the closing Pyth yield of the one-minute candlestick immediately preceding the settlement time.
- For a 1:00pm ET observation, use the 12:59pm candle, covering 12:59:00pm up to but excluding 1:00:00pm ET.
- No averaging applies.
- The closing Pyth yield, expressed as a percentage, is rounded to five decimal places using round-half-up before comparison with the strike.
- Other sources and stale or carried-forward values cannot substitute.