GeminiClosedKYC requiredVerified resolution dataRoughly calibratedThis market resolved: Hawaii (85%)
Resolved: Sep 13, 2026, 7:28 AM
Provider-verified resolution
CoinRithm has provider-backed winner and settlement-time evidence for this market.
Winning Outcome
Hawaii
At 7 days out
—
At 24 hours out
—
Data quality warningSource data degradedStale data
Data as of Sep 13, 2026, 7:25 AM UTC · policy pm-quality-3
Current implied probability
Hawaii 72.7%Vig-adjusted: raw venue quotes summed above 100% and were normalized.
Market quality
22 / 100
Low quality24h Volume
$9.4K
Liquidity
—
Liquidity unknownBid / Ask
99.0% / -
Market data
Updated 46 minutes ago
LaggingSep 13, 26, 4:00 AM UTCSep 14, 26, 4:00 AM UTC
Probability Timeline
Hawaii99%
New Mexico State32%
72.7%
27.4%
Related Markets
Related questions for context, not a comparison of equivalent contracts.
Rules
the named outcome vs Hawaii
- This market resolves to Yes if Hawaii wins the College Football game between Hawaii and the named outcome originally scheduled for September 13, 2026 at 12:00 AM.
- Otherwise, it resolves to No. The Underlying is the official result of the specified sporting event.
- Source Agencies, in order, are the league governing the event, ESPN, Fox Sports, and the broadcast partner of the event .
- If the Expiration Value cannot be determined on the Expiration Date (including because the event is cancelled or a team forfeits, withdraws, or is disqualified), the Exchange may determine payouts pursuant to the Market Outcome Review Process.
- View the [full rules](https://assets.gemini.com/predictions/terms_and_conditions/NCAA_FBS_Win-Loss_23ef351f-7ee0-4503-a740-5da5c95d4b2c.pdf).