Data quality warningNo live quotes
Data as of Jul 27, 2026, 2:40 AM UTC · policy pm-quality-3
Current implied probability
21,000 to 21,499.99 99%Leader of 17 outcomes
Market quality
22 / 100
Low quality24h Volume
$0
Liquidity
$0
Low liquidityBid / Ask
-
Market data
Updated 20 minutes ago
Mar 3, 26, 11:39 AMDec 31, 26, 9:00 PM
Paper funds only — no real moneyNot financial advice
Selected outcome
21,000 to 21,499.9999%
Compare venues· 33,000.01 or above
Ranked by market quality, then liquidity and 24h volume| Venue | Quality | Probability | vs reference | 24h Vol | Liq | Freshness | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 KalshiBest overall100% match · auto | High | 22% | 0pt | $2.5K | $2.7M | 20 minutes ago | Open → |
 GeminiThis page | Low | 7% | -15pt | $0 | $0 | 20 minutes ago |
Also available on Kalshi
Nasdaq-100 close price end of 2026?
2.0 pts5mo
19.5%
-1.0pt8.8%
+1.0pt4.4%
+27 more outcomes
78 • High qualityTight spreadHigh liquidity
Total Vol$3.4M
24h Vol$2.5K
KALSHIRules
NASDAQ-100 close price end of 2026?
- If the official NASDAQ-100 Index closing value on December 31, 2026 (or, if the index does not publish a close on that date, the last official closing value published by Nasdaq prior to 11:59:59 PM ET on December 31, 2026) is from 21,000.00 to 21,499.99 inclusive, this market resolves to Yes.
- Otherwise, it resolves to No.
- Outcome verified from Google Finance.
- Read the full contract [terms & conditions](https://cdn.builder.io/o/assets%2F1b77ce3a269a43e985e77f3d65f715ba%2F13749dfcb87e4ecc8d88c9cdf3d5cea9?alt=media&token=4907b68a-a6c5-4e1a-973f-6af20fe9d50c&apiKey=1b77ce3a269a43e985e77f3d65f715ba).
- If the official NASDAQ-100 Index closing value on December 31, 2026 (or, if the index does not publish a close on that date, the last official closing value published by Nasdaq prior to 11:59:59 PM ET on December 31, 2026) is from 23,000.00 to 23,499.99 inclusive, this market resolves to Yes.
Probabilities may differ due to different market structures, fees, and participant pools.
Large trades
$1.2k98.0%KALSHI32,500 to 33,000 — No3d ago
KALSHI32,500 to 33,000 — No3d ago$1.1k96.0%KALSHI30,000 to 30,499.99 — No7d ago
KALSHI30,000 to 30,499.99 — No7d ago$1.2k98.0%KALSHI30,000 to 30,499.99 — No7d ago
KALSHI30,000 to 30,499.99 — No7d ago$8.8k97.0%KALSHI29,000 to 29,499.99 — No12d ago
KALSHI29,000 to 29,499.99 — No12d ago$1.7k97.0%KALSHI28,000 to 28,499.99 — No20d ago
KALSHI28,000 to 28,499.99 — No20d agoRelated Markets
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NASDAQ-100 close price end of 2026?
- If the official NASDAQ-100 Index closing value on December 31, 2026 (or, if the index does not publish a close on that date, the last official closing value published by Nasdaq prior to 11:59:59 PM ET on December 31, 2026) is from 21,000.00 to 21,499.99 inclusive, this market resolves to Yes.
- Otherwise, it resolves to No.
- Outcome verified from Google Finance.
- Read the full contract [terms & conditions](https://cdn.builder.io/o/assets%2F1b77ce3a269a43e985e77f3d65f715ba%2F13749dfcb87e4ecc8d88c9cdf3d5cea9?alt=media&token=4907b68a-a6c5-4e1a-973f-6af20fe9d50c&apiKey=1b77ce3a269a43e985e77f3d65f715ba).
- If the official NASDAQ-100 Index closing value on December 31, 2026 (or, if the index does not publish a close on that date, the last official closing value published by Nasdaq prior to 11:59:59 PM ET on December 31, 2026) is from 23,000.00 to 23,499.99 inclusive, this market resolves to Yes.