KalshiCheck availabilityKYC required2% feeVerified resolution dataFairly calibratedCurrent implied probability
No 61%
Market quality
63 / 100
Medium quality24h Volume
$2.6K
Liquidity
$1.7K
Low liquidityBid / Ask
39.0% / 42.0%
Spread
3.0 pt
Moderate spreadMarket data
Updated 8 minutes ago
Sep 12, 26, 12:00 AM UTCSep 14, 26, 8:00 PM UTC
Trends
Related Markets
Related questions for context, not a comparison of equivalent contracts.
Rules
If the end-of-day price of the S&P 500 on September 14, 2026 is above 7656.85, then the market resolves to Yes.
Settles via:For example, Google Finance
- The target value is the end-of-day/closing price of the prior week's close.
Prediction Source Comparison
Open markets
Equities
POLYMARKETOpenAI IPO Closing Market Cap
- No IPO by December 31, 2026+4.8pt98%
- 1.5T+-0.9pt2%
- <500B-0.2pt0%
+4 more outcomes
- Total Vol
- $2.2M
- 24h Vol
- $44.2K
POLYMARKETWill OpenAI's valuation hit __ by December 31?
- ↑$900B+10.4pt100%
- ↑$1.0T-4.5pt82%
- ↑$1.25T-10.0pt52%
+12 more outcomes
POLYMARKETWill Anthropic’s valuation hit __ by December 31?
- ↑$1.25T+1.3pt100%
- ↑$1.1T+3.6pt100%
- ↑$1.0T+2.4pt100%
+10 more outcomes
KALSHIS&P close price end of 2026?
- 7,800 to 7,999.9916.4%
- 8,000 to 8,199.99-1.0pt15.4%
- 7,600 to 7,799.99+1.0pt11.8%
+24 more outcomes
- Total Vol
- $6.7M
POLYMARKETLargest Company end of December 2026?
- NVIDIA-3.0pt71.8%
- Apple+2.4pt19.4%
- Alphabet+1.0pt6.8%
+5 more outcomes
POLYMARKETAnthropic IPO Closing Market Cap
- $2.25–$2.5T+0.5pt22.4%
- $2.0–$2.25T-0.3pt20.6%
- $1.75–$2.0T+3.0pt19.6%
+7 more outcomes
- Nasdaq-100 price range on Sep 14, 2026 at 4pm EDT?
- Largest IPO by market cap in 2026?
- Oura IPO Closing Market Cap
- Will the S&P finish positive this year?
- S&P price range on Sep 14, 2026 at 4pm EDT?
- Nasdaq-100 price on Sep 14, 2026 at 4pm EDT?
- STRC hits $100 by…
- Discord IPO Closing Market Cap
- What will S&P 500 (SPX) hit by end of December?
- OpenAI IPO Closing Market Cap
- Will OpenAI's valuation hit __ by September 30?
Frequently asked questions
- What are the current odds for S&P 500 Daily Up/Down?
- Kalshi prices No at 61% as of September 13, 2026.
- When does S&P 500 Daily Up/Down resolve?
- S&P 500 Daily Up/Down is scheduled to resolve on September 14, 2026.
- How is S&P 500 Daily Up/Down settled?
- Kalshi settles this market as follows: If the end-of-day price of the S&P 500 on September 14, 2026 is above 7656.85, then the market resolves to Yes.
- Where else is S&P 500 Daily Up/Down listed?
- The same question is also listed on Limitless.