GeminiKYC requiredVerified resolution dataRoughly calibratedCurrent implied probability
Before 2028 5.5%
Market quality
≤49 / 100
Low quality24h Volume
$200
Liquidity
—
Liquidity unknownBid / Ask
5.0% / 6.0%
Spread
1.0 pt
Tight spreadTraders
0
Market data
Updated 4 minutes ago
Mar 4, 26, 11:48 AM UTCJan 1, 28, 4:59 AM UTC
Trends
Related Markets
Related questions for context, not a comparison of equivalent contracts.
NASA lands on the moon?
KalshiWho lands on the Moon next?
Manifold MarketsHow many Starships will launch before a Starship lands on the Moon?
Manifold MarketsWill humans set foot on the Moon again before an unmanned SpaceX Starship lands on Mars?
Manifold MarketsSpaceX (SPCX) Up or Down - Daily
LimitlessHow many launches will SpaceX have in September?
KalshiRules
NASA lands on the moon?
- If an announcement indicates that any manned NASA mission landed on the Moon after Issuance and by December 31, 2027, then the market resolves to Yes.
- Otherwise, it resolves to no.
- Outcome verified from NASA.
- Read the full contract [terms & conditions](https://cdn.builder.io/o/assets%2F1b77ce3a269a43e985e77f3d65f715ba%2Fa92a4182002340a6ac95acf878f1991f?alt=media&token=8a40042a-95e9-44e9-a6f8-3c358d80cc13&apiKey=1b77ce3a269a43e985e77f3d65f715ba).
- If an announcement indicates that any manned NASA mission landed on the Moon after Issuance and by December 31, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
Frequently asked questions
- What are the current odds for NASA lands on the moon??
- Gemini prices Before 2028 at 6% as of September 21, 2026.
- When does NASA lands on the moon? resolve?
- NASA lands on the moon? is scheduled to resolve on January 1, 2028.
- How is NASA lands on the moon? settled?
- Gemini settles this market as follows: NASA lands on the moon?
