KalshiCheck availabilityKYC required2% feeVerified resolution dataFairly calibratedCurrent implied probability
Before Oct 16, 2026 97%+1.0ptLeader of 5 outcomes
Market quality
68 / 100
Medium quality24h Volume
$4.1K
Liquidity
$56.4K
High liquiditySpread
2.0 pt
Moderate spreadMarket data
Updated 24 minutes ago
Jul 30, 26, 10:26 PMSep 1, 26, 3:59 AM
Trends
Rules
If SpaceX launches Starship flight test number 14 After issuance and the named outcome, then the market resolves to Yes.
Settles via:SpaceX
- For the purpose of this market, the launch date is the calendar date on which liftoff occurred, measured in the local timezone of the launch site, as publicly confirmed by SpaceX
Open markets
TechKALSHIBTC price on Aug 21, 2026 at 5pm EDT?
- $74,500 or above+85.0pt99%
- $76,000 or above+94.0pt99%
- $74,000 or above+78.0pt99%
+97 more outcomes
- Total Vol
- $7.8M
- 24h Vol
- $5M
KALSHIHighest temperature in Los Angeles on Aug 21, 2026?
- 82° to 83°+78.0pt93.2%
- 84° or above-1.0pt2.9%
- 78° to 79°-28.0pt1%
+3 more outcomes
- Total Vol
POLYMARKETElon Musk # tweets August 18 - August 25, 2026?
- 280-299+9.0pt21%
- 300-319+8.4pt21%
- 260-279+6.8pt15%
+23 more outcomes
KALSHIBitcoin price at the end of 2026
- 75,000 to 79,999.99+1.0pt11.9%
- 80,000 to 84,999.99+4.0pt10.9%
- 70,000 to 74,999.99-1.1pt10.9%
+25 more outcomes
- Total Vol
KALSHIETH price on Aug 21, 2026 at 5pm EDT?
- $2,290 or above+33.0pt99%
- $2,250 or above+14.0pt99%
- $2,330 or above+49.0pt99%
+47 more outcomes
- Total Vol
KALSHIWhere will it rain on Aug 21, 2026?
- Las Vegas+72.0pt99%
- Boston+23.0pt99%
- Chicago+55.0pt95%
+17 more outcomes
- Total Vol
- $258.2K
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- Highest temperature in Las Vegas on Aug 21, 2026?
Frequently asked questions
- What are the current odds for SpaceX Starship 14th launch??
- Kalshi prices Before Oct 16, 2026 at 97% as of August 21, 2026.
- When does SpaceX Starship 14th launch? resolve?
- SpaceX Starship 14th launch? is scheduled to resolve on September 1, 2026.
- How is SpaceX Starship 14th launch? settled?
- Kalshi settles this market as follows: If SpaceX launches Starship flight test number 14 After issuance and the named outcome, then the market resolves to Yes.